Thin river value bet?

Ian J · #1 04-25-2005, 05:12 PM

Button is a solid 16/12 player.

UTG+2 is a total donk. 40/10. Calling station type postflop.

I'm mostly interested in the flop and river plays, but feel free to comment on anything.

Party Poker 30/60 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
2 folds, UTG+2 calls, MP1 calls, Hero raises, 2 folds, Button 3-bets, 2 folds, UTG+2 calls, MP1 calls, Hero calls.

Flop: (13.50 SB) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4 players)
UTG+2 checks, MP1 checks, Hero bets, Button calls, UTG+2 calls, MP1 calls.

Turn: (8.75 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (4 players)
UTG+2 checks, MP1 checks, Hero bets, Button folds, UTG+2 calls, MP1 folds.

River: (10.75 BB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG+2 checks, Hero checks.

Final Pot: 10.75 BB

ike · #2 04-25-2005, 05:16 PM

If he's calling you down with any pair, which it sounds like he is, and you beat all the pairs but one, it seems like you've got a value bet. Hell, he might even call with ace high.

rigoletto · #3 04-25-2005, 05:17 PM

No, it's not thin at all!

DcifrThs · #4 04-25-2005, 05:20 PM

no its not a thin value bet. its a very clear value bet.

utg2 has done nothing but check and call the whole time...you'd have heard from a ten by now.

bet and expect to get called and win damn near 80% of the time.
-Barron

DpR · #5 04-25-2005, 05:48 PM

seems like the classic value bet......if your hand is any better it wouldnt be a value bet at all.

poker1O1 · #6 04-25-2005, 05:59 PM

very easy value bet

Ian J · #7 04-25-2005, 06:26 PM

Yeah as soon as I got done posting this I thought to myself the same thing that you all just pointed out. I guess in the middle of the hand I was thinking that he may play a T this way in fear of an overpair due to the PF action.

Thanks guys.

elindauer · #8 04-25-2005, 10:14 PM

How could you possibly fail to bet the river? You have a calling station ready to call with all kinds of weak garbage. You can beat weak garbage. Bet.

-Eric