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Old 11-08-2005, 12:48 PM
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Default Re: how to play this TT on scary flop

[ QUOTE ]
he could be semibluffing, true.

but i think it's far more likely that he coldcalled with a hand like KJ, QJ, K9, JT, etc.. and out flopped you. if you call down to defend against the semi-bluff, when he's not semi-bluffing you're paying all the way with only 2 outs. if he is semi-bluffing he has even more outs than normal as his pair outs are probably good.

it's a small pot and you're either a big underdog or slightly ahead (for example, against QT it's about 55/45). fold the [censored] flop. i have problems with respecting raises from aggro tards and calling down light but this is an easy fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

I underestand you reasoning, but I don't think that folding the flop, if correct, is that easy.

He may have a pair, or a draw.
We do have a pair, and two weak backdoors.
The pot is not small as we are getting 8.5 to 1.

I do agree that if he is not ahead, he has many outs against us as well, diminishing our equity. But I don't think it's a clear flop fold. I'm on a restricted computer right now so I can't stove it, but if it's a -EV call, I don't think it's by much.

I'd like to hear more on the flop play though.
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