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  #11  
Old 11-18-2005, 07:22 PM
housenuts housenuts is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Victoria, BC
Posts: 357
Default Re: Help with probability in Casino War.....no joke.

so you blew half your bankroll trying to win $1? this system is retarded. when does it stop?

if you win the first time do you quit? if you lose then you double, and double and double. say you get back to even. then what do you do? bet $1 again?

if you do this you will have a series of small wins, followed by a large loss.

and don't think that if you play one day and then come back the next day it's a fresh start. it would be the same as just playing one long session
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  #12  
Old 11-19-2005, 12:31 PM
jman220 jman220 is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
Location: No Poker Sept-May
Posts: 822
Default Re: Help with probability in Casino War.....no joke.

[ QUOTE ]
Search "martingale", plain and simple. Note: Don't let anyone tell you it has to do with table maximums.

[/ QUOTE ]

It never ceases to amaze me that people say that this would work if not for table maximums.
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  #13  
Old 11-20-2005, 02:03 AM
TomCollins TomCollins is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 172
Default Re: Help with probability in Casino War.....no joke.

You just neeed an INFINITE BANKROLL MAN!!!!
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  #14  
Old 11-20-2005, 02:07 AM
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Default Re: Help with probability in Casino War.....no joke.

[ QUOTE ]
You just neeed an INFINITE BANKROLL MAN!!!!

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes, and that is just to break even [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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  #15  
Old 11-20-2005, 01:08 PM
Guernica4000 Guernica4000 is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 40
Default Re: Help with probability in Casino War.....no joke.

Martingale
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  #16  
Old 11-20-2005, 07:50 PM
CORed CORed is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 273
Default Re: Help with probability in Casino War.....no joke.

Betting progressions don't work. You can't ad a bunch of negative numbers and come up with a positive number. A "negative" (increase bets after you lose) progression trades a high probability of a small win for a low probability of a big loss. A "positive" (increae bets after you win) progression trades a high probability of a small loss for a low probability of a big win. Niether alters the house advantage (percentage-wixe) one bit. Either one will lose more money long-term than flat betting your base bet (because you bet more money total). Yes, the house edge at casino war comes entirely (not mostly) from the ties. If you tie with a big bet out, you lose more. Except for increasing from 2 to 3 after the second loss, this is a Martingale. The person that invented it has been dead for a long time. The person who claims to have invented it han't thought it through very well.
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