Operation ISO-raise

[SNOWBALL138]

MP2 is 42/0/.62
CO is 36/2.9/.7
Both over ~100 hands

Preflop:
MP2 would let my ace win in a showdown, and I would never have to pay him off, so I like the idea of getting heads up with him a lot.
However the blinds weren't that tight, and I don't put it past the CO to cold call behind me, so I'm not sure my raise is good here.
If things turn sour and the blinds call, at least I have a good shot at seeing a "4 card flop"

Flop:
No reason to think I'm behind at this point, so I think my bet it fine. If CO folds I'm in hog heaven being heads up with mp2. I think calling the raise is ok too. There's no reason to think CO needs a set or any other scary hand to raise on this dry board.

Turn:
I have six pretty good outs, and 2 ok outs, so I like my call considering that playing the river should be super ez against these dudes.

River: I was planning on a bet/fold. Inducing a bluff is obviously worthless and CO is checking behind so often so no way am I not betting this. Also, I think MHIG pretty often.

Anyone play this differenly or analyze it from a different angle?

Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, MP2 calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, CO calls, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, MP2 calls.

Flop: (7.50 SB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
MP2 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises</font>, MP2 calls, Hero calls.

Turn: (6.75 BB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
MP2 checks, Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets</font>, MP2 calls, Hero calls.

River: (9.75 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
MP2 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, CO calls, MP2 folds.

Final Pot: 11.75 BB
<font color="#009B00">Main Pot: 11.75 BB, between Hero and CO.</font>

[SNOWBALL138]

nt

preflop: I can Iso this guy, and if the blinds don"t fold, I'm sure I have an equity edge against them. If I do get 3-bet, the flush might bail me out, or I might get a flop where I can take a WA/WB line.

Flop: Man I missed this flop completely. There is massive RIO, and given these guys stats, they aren't likely to fold. Then I cry because I hate going down in a raised pot without a fight.

Flop raise: Yeap, why did I think they would fold. I am getting odds, but the RIO is too much, and my 9 is susceptible to redraws. Also, MP3's cold call could mean a FD, killing 2 diamond outs.

Turn: Well I'm now getting odds to see the river for one bet, I wish I hadn't built that pot for the CO.

River. Bet/fold. I'm getting value from some weaker pairs from these guys. If I get raised somebody picked up 2pr w/ an Ace and there isn't much I outkick.

I fold to the flop raise.

You are beating absolutely nothing that cold calls preflop and raises this flop.

[SNOWBALL138]

[ QUOTE ]
I fold to the flop raise.

You are beating absolutely nothing that cold calls preflop and raises this flop.



[/ QUOTE ]
I'm gettin 12.5:1 odds on the flop call, which is definitely enough here with a backdoor straight draw and 2 overcards. I don't count the nine as being worth that much though. I give myself ~3.5 outs

Normally you think "wow, my outs must be wicked tainted, and MP2's cold call scares the sheizen outta me", but in this situation MP2 could easily be holding QTo. MP2 is a very very bad player.