AQ river decision

DCWildcat · #1 10-09-2005, 07:44 PM

Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (6 max, 5 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
UTG calls, 1 fold, Button calls, Hero raises, BB calls, UTG calls, Button calls.

Flop: (8 SB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4 players)
Hero bets, BB raises, UTG 3-bets, Button folds, Hero caps, BB calls, UTG calls.

Well there's a good flop. Strange amount of action though.

Turn: (10 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets, BB calls, UTG calls.

Hmm...

River: (13 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets, BB raises, UTG 3-bets, Hero..

Well, I'm losing to a lot of hands here, but the pot's awful big. Comments?

@bsolute_luck · #2 10-09-2005, 07:47 PM

i'm probably a glutton for punishment and calling this river [img]/images/graemlins/shocked.gif[/img] 2 pair goofballs [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

milesdyson · #3 10-09-2005, 07:47 PM

i can't believe neither of them raised the turn with A9/AT/AJ, or that either of them raised the flop with KQ.

i have to call.

Vote4Pedro · #4 10-09-2005, 07:50 PM

[ QUOTE ]
i can't believe neither of them raised the turn with A9/AT/AJ, or that either of them raised the flop with KQ.

i have to call.

[/ QUOTE ]

likewise

GTSamIAm · #5 10-09-2005, 08:00 PM

Fold that river. Any reads on your opponents? If UTG is especially tight and passive, I would be tempted to fold on the flop. But anything other than a cap here is usually pretty silly.

GTSamIAm · #6 10-09-2005, 08:03 PM

Given the action and the fact that many players at this limit get fancy with big hands, I think that 99-JJ are definite possibilities.

DCWildcat · #7 10-09-2005, 08:06 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Fold that river. Any reads on your opponents? If UTG is especially tight and passive, I would be tempted to fold on the flop. But anything other than a cap here is usually pretty silly.

[/ QUOTE ]

UTG is 42/3/1.5 over 131 hands
BB is 41/5.8/.67 over 69 hands

milesdyson · #8 10-09-2005, 08:09 PM

[ QUOTE ]
If UTG is especially tight and passive, I would be tempted to fold on the flop. But anything other than a cap here is usually pretty silly.

[/ QUOTE ]
LOL.

DCWildcat · #9 10-09-2005, 08:10 PM

Results in white below: 
Hero has Ac Qd (three of a kind, aces).
BB doesn't show.
UTG has As Js (full house, aces full of jacks).
Outcome: UTG wins 23.12 BB. 

Edit: BB had 99

GTSamIAm · #10 10-09-2005, 08:11 PM

You're playing against loose passives, then. I would probably fold the river although it may be a mistake. The PokerTracker stats aren't complete enough reads for me to make my decision, though. Against some players I would fold this without a doubt. I'm thinking 99-JJ.