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Old 06-19-2005, 11:46 AM
Guruman Guruman is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 228
Default fish bait

I've been working on a little play that seems to have great potential in the right situation. Here's how it works:

conditions:
1)no limit game or tourney
2)semi-cognizant opposition
3)a general mix of tight and semi-aggressive opponents
4)early position - probably from the blinds
5)only to be tried on the flop or turn
6)3-5 opponents left in the hand

I sit in these kind of games often enough. While my opponents are not poker masters by any means, they are at least concious and trying to win. [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]

Here's the play:

1)make a hand on the flop [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]
2)make the minimum bet into the field

-possible outcomes-

a)the bet gets called around [semi-bad]
b)the bet gets raised [very good]
c)the bet clears out all but one or two opponents [good]
d)the bet wins the pot [about as good as that was going to get anyway]

if A or C occurs, then I can put a 2/3 or pot sized bet in on a non-scare card on the next street and try to pick up the pot. If a scare card falls, then I can shrink up my bet a bit or even check and re-evaluate whether or not my set or two pair is beat here.

If B occurs then I can spring the trap and re-raise.

-Here's the purpose of even trying this in the first place:

if I do manage to spring the trap on someone, then my minimum bets into the field will immediately be viewed in a different light. Now my opponents will suspect a trap, and will be more apt to slow down a little when thinking of re-raising that little flop bet when it comes to them. This opens up a few more doors for me:

Primarily, I can now make this play with a strong drawing hand on the flop. Since my opponents should suspect a stronger than normal hand in this spot now,
a)they will be less apt to re-raise - allowing me to get to the next card cheaply
b)they will be more likely to only re-raise with made hands - allowing me to do math or just drop depending on the situation
c)they may fold more hands then they would have previously - allowing me a cheaper price to attempt to pick up the pot.

I obviously wouldn't try to bait the fish with a drawing hand until I had sprung the trap with a made hand already, and I wouldn't try it against non-thinking opponents. Also, I get the feeling that this would work better live than online.

Also, i fully recognize that it is a theoretical mistake to give drawing hands odds when I have a made hand, but I think this can be made up for in a couple of ways: 1)just because I'm giving a drawing hand odds doesn't mean my opponents will - remember, I'm betting into a field of potential re-raisers and 2)this play is designed to give my drawing hands odds later on.

thoughts? criticizms? beratements?
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