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Old 12-27-2005, 01:09 PM
Kyriefurro Kyriefurro is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 70
Default Top 2 vs. Button Raise from TAG

Button is TAG, maybe even a 2+2er (27/7/1.3). He seems to be fairly solid but he has also made a few mistakes where he seems to be not paying quite enough attention to the game. He may be multi-tabling or watching TV while playing.

SB is a non-thinking LAG. His small raise PF means he got dealt two cards [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

MP ($44)
CO ($55.15)
Button ($97)
SB ($136.45)
Hero ($102.50)
UTG ($133.15)

Preflop: Hero is BB with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
UTG calls $1, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Button calls $1, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to $3</font>, Hero calls $2, UTG calls $2, Button calls $2.

Flop: ($12) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $8</font>, UTG calls $8, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $20</font>, SB folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $99.5</font>

I thought a long time before I made this push. I'm pretty certain that villain would have raised 99/JJ/KK from the button, so I don't think I'm up against a set. I'm ahead or tied with any 2-pair hand combo he might have. The only hand that has me worried is QT, however this is the least likely of villain's possible holdings, and if he does have it I've still got 4 outs to beat it. I think I'm ahead here about 60% of the time, and the push adds a LOT of fold equity plus it prevents villain from making a play if another scare card hits on the turn.

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