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  #31  
Old 12-13-2005, 04:46 PM
Chris Daddy Cool Chris Daddy Cool is offline
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Default Re: 10/20 AK preflop

[ QUOTE ]
AK is a drawing dead hand.

-Michael

[/ QUOTE ]

fixed your post
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  #32  
Old 12-13-2005, 06:59 PM
DiamondDave DiamondDave is offline
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Default Re: 10/20 AK preflop

Good fold.
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  #33  
Old 12-13-2005, 07:08 PM
Klepton Klepton is offline
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Default Re: 10/20 AK preflop

i bet you anything MP2 had 97s. i would have called this cap.

position + AK = thanks.
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  #34  
Old 12-13-2005, 07:42 PM
Shillx Shillx is offline
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Default Re: 10/20 AK preflop

Fold. AKs looks pretty close as does a hand like 65s. Give me 4:1 and I'll play those hands all day long. AKo isn't really close IMO.
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  #35  
Old 12-13-2005, 07:51 PM
Evan Evan is offline
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Default Re: 10/20 AK preflop

[ QUOTE ]
Fold. AKs looks pretty close as does a hand like 65s.

[/ QUOTE ]
I can't tell if this is a joke.
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  #36  
Old 12-13-2005, 07:57 PM
Shillx Shillx is offline
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Default Re: 10/20 AK preflop

No it isn't. Equity is a pretty good measure of hand strength, so let's see what comes up when we plug 65s into the equation. We are about 3:1 against flopping a money making hand (on average if you played it out an infinate number of times) with it. Even if you just play for the home run, it looks like an easy call getting 4:1 preflop. 3:1 probably isn't enough to call preflop though.

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 18.0095 % 17.06% 00.95% { 88+, ATs+, KTs+, QJs, ATo+, KJo+ }
Hand 2: 28.6597 % 26.31% 02.35% { JJ+, AQs+, AKo }
Hand 3: 29.9065 % 27.58% 02.33% { JJ+, AKs, AKo }
Hand 4: 23.4244 % 23.36% 00.07% { 65s }

As you showed earlier, our equity is piss poor with AKo.

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 18.1721 % 17.07% 01.10% { 88+, ATs+, KTs+, QJs, ATo+, KJo+ }
Hand 2: 32.1098 % 28.36% 03.75% { JJ+, AQs+, AKo }
Hand 3: 34.0922 % 29.93% 04.16% { JJ+, AKs, AKo }
Hand 4: 15.6259 % 09.25% 06.38% { AKo }
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  #37  
Old 12-13-2005, 08:40 PM
W. Deranged W. Deranged is offline
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Default Re: 10/20 AK preflop

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
MP2 caps (64/11) I fold

[/ QUOTE ]
[img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Hobbs:

I couldn't give a [censored] about the 64/11 capper. It's the 16/6 three-bettor that has me wetting the bed.
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  #38  
Old 12-13-2005, 09:04 PM
Justin A Justin A is offline
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Default Re: 10/20 AK preflop

I would fold here even if MP2 had folded.
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  #39  
Old 12-14-2005, 03:14 PM
inspectorgadget inspectorgadget is offline
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Default Re: 10/20 AK preflop

I can't imagine folding here preflop. :\
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  #40  
Old 12-14-2005, 03:23 PM
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Default Re: 10/20 AK preflop

I think its a good fold since the PFR are 6 and 11 for the reraiser and capper. I think a good question would be is this hand worth capping against a tight reraiser whose range is probably TT+,AK.
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