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Old 01-21-2004, 04:03 PM
DOMIT DOMIT is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 15
Default 5card draw high odds question

Hi,

I've read Caro's section on draw in Super System and looked at his tables of odds, but the one that I don't see is drawing two to a pair w/ a kicker.

I see that he states drawing 2 to trips will fill up 6.11% of the time; meaning that you'll draw a pair on a two card draw 6.11%. Then drawing 3 to your kicker and 2 to your pair: 5/47 * 2 draws is 21.28%. This gives a combined total of 27.39; which makes you 2.65-to-1 to improve.

Do I have the math correct on this?

Then of course, I might ask... do I every really want to draw to a kicker? Perhaps in late position w/ A55xx after a couple limpers? Say I know that the limpers would have raised if they had aces or better.

Just curious if I'm playing too tight by throwing away these hands in late position or in the blind when it's been raised. I understand that the 6% of the time that I do draw another pair, it may be no good (say I end up w/ 5522A), so do I really want to add in that 6% at all or reduce it down to 3% for half the time that I'll get higher pairs?

Thanks for any advice.

~DOMIT
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