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  #1  
Old 11-10-2005, 06:31 PM
WichitaDM WichitaDM is offline
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Default Boise St vs Fresno St

I see a huge edge in taking Boise St +9.5 here. I think that the teams are very evenly matched and do not think home field is worth 9.5 pts. In a game where clearly either team could win, and a backdoor cover is likely with a potent boise st offense take the pts.

YTD (posted picks all sports) 1-1
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  #2  
Old 11-10-2005, 06:36 PM
scott8 scott8 is offline
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Default Re: Boise St vs Fresno St

You should know that this game opened at +7 or +7.5 depending on who you believe and most sharps pounded the line early.

The general thinking is that Boise has played a cupcake schedule and is not the team from last year, despite what the public may believe.

I'm on Fresno, but at -8.
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  #3  
Old 11-10-2005, 06:55 PM
WichitaDM WichitaDM is offline
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Default Re: Boise St vs Fresno St

I realize there is some validity to what you are saying. However they have a pretty similar schedule with boises having a loss to georgia and a loss at oregon st by 3. Fresno lost its only game against a big conference team Oregon. Neither team has good schedules, and both teams have handled easily the majority of their conference schedule. I could be wrong but 9.5 is too much.
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  #4  
Old 11-10-2005, 07:07 PM
tom441lbk tom441lbk is offline
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Default Re: Boise St vs Fresno St

is anyone else liking the over on this game?
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  #5  
Old 11-10-2005, 07:40 PM
LLXC LLXC is offline
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Default Re: Boise St vs Fresno St

Yes [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]
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  #6  
Old 11-10-2005, 07:49 PM
Smackdab Smackdab is offline
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Default Re: Boise St vs Fresno St

[ QUOTE ]
is anyone else liking the over on this game?

[/ QUOTE ]

Opened at 63.5 down to 61. Someone has been hitting it hard but hey........... bet the over games over.
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  #7  
Old 11-10-2005, 07:54 PM
TheRover TheRover is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
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Default Re: Boise St vs Fresno St

[ QUOTE ]
is anyone else liking the over on this game?

[/ QUOTE ]

I did when I bet it this morning at 63, now that it's down to 60.5 not so much.
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  #8  
Old 11-10-2005, 08:01 PM
scott8 scott8 is offline
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Default Re: Boise St vs Fresno St

Reports of bad weather and muddy fields. Just overheard, nothing confirmed.
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  #9  
Old 11-10-2005, 08:09 PM
craig r craig r is offline
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Default Re: Boise St vs Fresno St

[ QUOTE ]
bet the over games over

[/ QUOTE ]

Why? Does anybody have stats to back this up?

craig
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  #10  
Old 11-10-2005, 08:13 PM
scott8 scott8 is offline
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Default Re: Boise St vs Fresno St

I do Craig.

100% of the games that go over, cover the over.

The paradox of course, is the under games never go under 100% of the time.
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