Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > PL/NL Texas Hold'em > Medium-Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 12-14-2005, 09:05 PM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default 99 - Fold or call river?

All I have on villain is his pokertracker stats after ~60 hands, they are 20.1/6.9/1.7, with a WTSD of 15%. Call or fold river?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 max, 5 handed) converter

Hero ($346.84)
MP ($425.90)
Button ($193.10)
SB ($153)
BB ($115.60)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $1.
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $8</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, SB (poster) calls $7, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>.

Flop: ($18) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $15</font>, SB calls $15.

Turn: ($48) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $40</font>, SB calls $40.

River: ($128) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB calls $90 (All-In), Hero...?

Dumle
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 12-14-2005, 09:09 PM
Big_Jim Big_Jim is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 89
Default Re: 99 - Fold or call river?

Sure does look like a flush, don't it?

I think you can probably fold here. I can't see any hand you're ahead of playing like this except for a bluff, and this is a pretty elaborate bluff.

The only thing I see you ever being ahead of here is QT, or a complete donkey's A5

He probably had a big combo draw or JJ.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 12-14-2005, 09:45 PM
UOPokerPlayer UOPokerPlayer is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: 2nd Floor
Posts: 111
Default Re: 99 - Fold or call river?

Call. We know he doesn't have the As, so that reduces the amount of hands that would be drawing to a flush. With those stats, it's probably only KQs, maybe KJs or JQs. The times he has a bigger set, you can't really do much. I think I see a big ace or AJ a lot of the time. Remember, you have to be right less than 1/3rd of the time.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 12-15-2005, 11:51 AM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: 99 - Fold or call river?

I think I see a big ace or AJ a lot of the time.

Really? I would think he would like to get to showdown as cheaply as possible with a big ace here and not push when it seems like I have a strong hand, no?

Dumle
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 12-15-2005, 11:51 AM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Results

I folded.

Dumle
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 12-15-2005, 01:03 PM
maranello11 maranello11 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Monaco
Posts: 111
Default Re: Results

I think you see KJ of spades very often here, nice fold
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 07:33 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.