Simulators do not make sense or I am going NUTS 50/100 LIMIT

#1 10-19-2005, 10:54 PM

I am playing a 50 / 100 LIMIT game so this hand really needss help for me. I ended up losing this hand by the way.

Ok here is the flop... 5s6s7s and i have Qs9d and opponent has 57. The simulator shows that my opponent will win most of the time, but that doesn't make sense... My outs are 9 spades and 4 8s(for a straight) which total to be 13 outs, and 13 x 4 = 52 percent of ME winning, why does the simulator say that the opponent will win? Any thoughts on this guys? Am i going nuts?

djk123 · #2 10-19-2005, 10:56 PM

you are about 43% to win.

sthief09 · #3 10-19-2005, 10:57 PM

redraw

TimM · #4 10-19-2005, 11:00 PM

Does the limit really matter here?

#5 10-19-2005, 11:04 PM

how did you calculate that 43? I thought it was 52... 13 outs x 4 = 52 percent

flawless_victory · #6 10-19-2005, 11:06 PM

im not sure if this post is serious or not... its freaking me out...

sy_or_bust · #7 10-19-2005, 11:08 PM

OK you catch your spade on the turn. SWEET!!!11

River is a five. Weird.

lorinda · #8 10-19-2005, 11:09 PM

[ QUOTE ]
how did you calculate that 43? I thought it was 52... 13 outs x 4 = 52 percent

[/ QUOTE ]

This is correct. It is only 43% in 30/60

Lori

hobbsmann · #9 10-19-2005, 11:09 PM

you have 9 flush outs and *3* other 8 outs.

sthief09 · #10 10-19-2005, 11:38 PM

[ QUOTE ]
how did you calculate that 43? I thought it was 52... 13 outs x 4 = 52 percent

[/ QUOTE ]

that times 4 bs is a pretty terrible estimate once you get above 10 outs