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#1
12-23-2005, 01:09 AM
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Re: KC +1.5 at home vs SD??
When they played in SD, KC was +5.5 according to our DB. If the line was correct, then KC should be a half-point favorite in this game. Once again, that is assuming the line was accurate.
So, SD winning by 8 last game is not a big enough reason to think that they will cover 1.5 on the road. Also, I don't know what you mean when you say "that was the closest it ever was" (referring to the score). The final score is what matters. A 5.5 point fav covering by 2.5 is not a big deal. craig 
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#2
12-23-2005, 01:20 AM
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Re: KC +1.5 at home vs SD??
[ QUOTE ]
When they played in SD, KC was +5.5 according to our DB. If the line was correct, then KC should be a half-point favorite in this game. Once again, that is assuming the line was accurate. [/ QUOTE ] Things change during the season in the NFL. Would Indy have been a 10 point dog to Seattle 4 weeks ago? I don't think so. Obviously that is an extreme example. The point is, just because the line was 5.5 in SD doesn't mean it should be PK or better for KC now. I'm not saying KC is a bad pick, though - and wouldn't be surprised to be betting them myself soon.
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#3
12-23-2005, 01:28 AM
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Re: KC +1.5 at home vs SD??
I didn't really make my point. My point was that SD winning by 8 at home when they were 5.5 favs, is not that big of a deal. The person I had responded to had pointed out that they won 28-20. I wanted to just point out that it wasn't a big deal. Divisional rivals at home tend to play a little closer than other games.
Also, if this game was played after the SD/MIA game (where SD lost at home) what would the spread be? Has much changed between the two teams when they met in OCT? craig
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#4
12-23-2005, 01:58 AM
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Re: KC +1.5 at home vs SD??
[ QUOTE ]
I didn't really make my point. My point was that SD winning by 8 at home when they were 5.5 favs, is not that big of a deal. The person I had responded to had pointed out that they won 28-20. I wanted to just point out that it wasn't a big deal. Divisional rivals at home tend to play a little closer than other games. [/ QUOTE ] Okay. No it doesn't mean a whole lot - but it should count for something. [ QUOTE ] Also, if this game was played after the SD/MIA game (where SD lost at home) what would the spread be? Has much changed between the two teams when they met in OCT? craig [/ QUOTE ] I'm not qualified to answer that question.
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