Boston +300 to Win AL East

[DougOzzzz]

Last year Boston's Pythagenport record was 8 games better than the Yankees. Pythagenport record = runs scored^1.87/runs allowed^1.87.

Teams that outperform their pythagenport projections tend to come back to earth the following year. The Yankees added 1 great pitcher, and 2 mediocre, overrated ones. The Sox added 3 solid pitchers and a pretty good shortstop... losing 1 great pitcher and 1 terrible pitcher (at least last year).

PECOTA projects the Sox to win the AL East by 4 games. The Yankees are nonetheless a HUGE favorite to win according to the bookies. Looks like a lot of value in betting the Sox.