Should I push this flop?

nietzreznor · #1 06-03-2005, 01:35 PM

Read on Villain is that he is quite aggressive. He has been overbetting pots and raising frequently, and has pushed me and others out of some pots (so I feel like a push has to have a decent amount of fold equity here).
I have a pretty tight/solid image at table, but I have also folded to some raises after trying to steal from button/CO.
Is this a decent spot to play back at villain, or should I just call and see the turn?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) converter

saw flop|saw showdown

UTG :#A500AF(Villain)/ ($16.35)
MP ($6.80)
CO ($14.75)
Hero ($32.55)
SB ($11)
BB ($64.55)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
UTG :#A500AF(Villain)/ calls $0.25, MP calls $0.25, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.25, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: ($1.25) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (5 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Villain checks, MP checks, Hero bets $1.5, SB folds, BB folds, Villain raises to $3.25, MP folds, Hero raises to $32.3...

BirdieLongSocks · #2 06-03-2005, 01:43 PM

You are pushing with mid pair against villian who has c/r you? I dont think there is much fold equity at all in this spot.

He is not doing this with a nine or overpair, I whould put him on a set or twopair.

I dont like calling either since if you get your straight you probobly wont get any action unless he has 810/J

nietzreznor · #3 06-03-2005, 01:47 PM

I think against a more passive or tight opponent, I would agree with you about the folding equity. But this opponent has been raising LOTS of flops, so he doesn't necessarily have to have a big hand here.
On the other hand, he checkraised me here, so I suppose its possible that his standards for checkraising here are a lot higher, but it sure doesn't seem like the case from what I've seen.

meow_meow · #4 06-03-2005, 02:04 PM

I don't play 25nl, but I assume that check-raise bluffs on the flop are extremely rare.
If you put him on a range that includes two pair, a set, an overpair (or 88), T8, or top pair (A9 - T9), which is I think about as broad as you can go, then you are a 60/40 dog.

Zag · #5 06-03-2005, 02:07 PM

This is a reasonable place to take a stand, which you had already decided you are going to have to do soon or be run over completely. Your pair and OESD is almost even with AA.