AA against 2 other players

[theredpill5]

I got AA 4 times tonight in 3 hours. I only made money on 2 of them, though.

Here is one that just happened.

AA Hero has $30 in MP
Villain is UTG has $20
.25/.50 NL

Hero raises to $1.50
LP calls
Villain calls UTG

Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] pot = $5
UTG bets $1
Hero raises to $4
LP calls
UTG calls

Turn: 9
UTG bets $1
Hero raises All-in
LP calls
UTG calls

I can't assume the player has a 9. Can I ?

Maybe I was on tilt a little since this happened with AA about 10 minutes ago.


AA

I didn't raise this one.

Flop: Q J 5
I bet the pot
MP calls

Turn: J
I bet 1/2 pot
MP raises all-in
I fold.

This one was different. 6 people saw the flop.

Above situation, only 2 others saw the flop so I figured if he has the 9 then he has it but I'm not folding this one. Besides, if he called with a 9, he wasn't getting the odds to do so.

[theredpill5]

someone respond. I respond to your threads.

[unlucky513]

you misplayed both pretty badly.. hand one your push is really bad and hand two not raising preflop is even worse..

[theredpill5]

Hand 1. Villain had $15 left on him on the turn. Other guy had $5 left on him on the turn. I had about $24 left on the turn. The pot was $18. Still think my push is bad ? I should assume he had the 9 ? Only me and 2 others saw the flop, it wasn't like 6 people were seeing the flop. I estimate that it was about 8 to 1 that someone had a 9 given that there were two on the board.

[Spladle Master]

You make me sad.

[VandyNDE]

I concur. In hand two, when you let six people see the flop by not raising preflop, your AA becomes well less than 50% to win -- not only do you run the risk of the second jack (or queen or whatever) coming on fourth street, but with 6 people, someone can randomly make trips or two pair on the flop.

On hand one, let's look at it from villain's perspective after your post-flop reraise. The pot contains $14 ($5 pre-flop + $1 UTG raise + $4 your reraise + $4 from LP). Let's further say villain has K9 and s/he puts you on AA.

Villain has five outs -- three Ks, two 9s. That's only 5 of 46 or slightly more than 10% to get one of those outs on 4th street.

However, if an out hits, the implied odds are great. Villain has an extra $16, which will probably be called and will win. So if villain makes the about 10% shot at the outs, s/he will win the $14 in the pot, plus an additional $16 from you (and that isn't assuming LP calls). That's over a 10% of winning $30 for a $3 investment. That, plus the fact that your reraise could be a bluff (let's face it -- the initial $1 raise shows weakness, so you could be bluffing) and it is a decent call for villain.

Thus, I think a larger post-flop raise is called for on your part to reduce the implied odds.

As far could you read that this person had a nine? It's one of a number of possibilities. They could have Q-10, 10-8, Ax of diamonds, or a nine or four. I would think that a jack could be ruled out, as the post-flop raise was too weak for that -- that bet indicates to me that it's a hand on the make.

All in all, I don't think the all-in on fourth street is bad (as I said, the raise post-flop could use somework). There is a significant enough chance that villain missed with the 9 and you take down the pot there.

[theredpill5]

[censored]

If villain and other villains are thinking that [censored] in depth, I might as well quit online poker right now.

OK SO EVERYTIME THE BOARD PAIRS ONE OF THE SMALL CARDS ON THE TURN, I'M GOINGING TO ASSUME THEY HAVE IT AND FOLD. SOUNDS LIKE A PLAN.

My raise on the flop sucked. I'd admit but he still isn't getting 8 to 1 and I don't give a [censored] what you say.

[theredpill5]

[ QUOTE ]
You make me sad.

[/ QUOTE ]

F U C K Y O U

I'm trying to learn here along with everyone else.

[Spladle Master]

[ QUOTE ]
You make me sad.

[/ QUOTE ]

[theredpill5]

[ QUOTE ]
F U C K Y O U

[/ QUOTE ]