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  #1  
Old 12-23-2005, 08:24 PM
checkmate36 checkmate36 is offline
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Default AKo flops overcards

PokerStars 0.25/0.50 Hold'em (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. CO posts a blind of $0.35.
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+2 raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO (poster) caps</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, UTG+2 calls, Hero calls.

Did CO get dealt a real hand right out of the gate? What range of hands do you put him on? I felt AA/KK/QQ/AKs all very possible. JJ and TT I guess also possible.

Flop: (13.80 SB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
UTG+2 checks, Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets</font>, UTG+2 folds, Hero calls.

I called getting 14.8:1 as Im not ready to abandon my stake in this pot as of yet.

Turn: (7.90 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets</font>, Hero calls.

I was going to c/r the turn after the K hit but here was what I was thinking in the heat of battle. If he has AA Im drawing slim. If he has KK Im drawing dead but I felt this hand probably not likely. If he has a hand lower than my K's he will be drawing slim and I don't want to lose him. With AK we split.

River: (9.90 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets</font>, Hero calls.

Thanks for any thoughts on this one.

Final Pot: 11.90 BB
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  #2  
Old 12-23-2005, 08:27 PM
GTSamIAm GTSamIAm is offline
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Default Re: AKo flops overcards

Looks good. If the person is not very aggressive, though, you're beat. And he probably doesn't have KK since there are only two kings left in the deck. I expect you'll get shown AK here more often than not.
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  #3  
Old 12-23-2005, 08:30 PM
Shillx Shillx is offline
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Default Re: AKo flops overcards

I would have bet the riv. Looks good otherwise.
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  #4  
Old 12-23-2005, 08:37 PM
moose47 moose47 is offline
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Default Re: AKo flops overcards

I'm probably betting the turn and calling down a 3-bet.
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  #5  
Old 12-23-2005, 08:47 PM
HouseCalls HouseCalls is offline
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Default Re: AKo flops overcards

Seems to me your logic on the flop and turn contradict each other. If you can't count the K as an out on the turn then what did you think your outs were on the flop? If your only out on the flop is an A then you have 3 outs which is just barely enough to call getting 14.8: 1 (break even odds 14.3:1), but if the A outs aren't clean and you don't think the K outs are clean then you might be better off folding.

That said I think you are giving CO alot of credit here and if you are not pretty sure he has AA or KK I think your line is good.
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  #6  
Old 12-23-2005, 09:22 PM
checkmate36 checkmate36 is offline
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Default Re: AKo flops overcards

On the flop I gave myself about 4 outs. .5 for each overcard and another 1 for the nut backdoor flush.
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  #7  
Old 12-23-2005, 09:26 PM
GTSamIAm GTSamIAm is offline
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Default Re: AKo flops overcards

I don't think you need to worry about outs too much here. I think a good percent of the time villain has AK and you split. So folding would be a big mistake.
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  #8  
Old 12-23-2005, 09:26 PM
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Default Re: AKo flops overcards

why do you assume your behind on the flop?
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  #9  
Old 12-23-2005, 10:01 PM
Fryguy Fryguy is offline
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Default Re: AKo flops overcards

I donk the river and call a raise.
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  #10  
Old 12-23-2005, 10:03 PM
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Default Re: AKo flops overcards

[ QUOTE ]
I would have bet the riv. Looks good otherwise.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm thinking that a check on the river is the best option, b/c Hero is always calling a raise.

If you think he caps preflop and calls the river more than 50% with QQ, JJ, TT a bet is fine.

If he doesn't cap TT - he has to call 66% of the time with QQ, JJ.

If his capping range is AK+, AA, KK, QQ. A bet on the river is - EV.
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