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#1
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Re: The paradox of making money from opponents mistakes
Only one of the following two scenarios is true:
(1) He knows you have a 9, and is therefore incorrect to call a bet or to make a bet (2) He doesn't know you have a 9 and must therefore play against your range of hands in which case both betting and calling are close but you must start factoring in things like: what he thinks of you, what he thinks you think of him and so on and so forth. You can't have it both ways. |
#2
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Re: The paradox of making money from opponents mistakes
Because it is a game of imperfect information, poker isn't really about a particular pair of holdings, but rather about things like reading your opponent, and whatnot. Slanksy's fundemental theorem of poker doesn't explicitly adress exploiting opponent weakness.
One way to look at it: You have to play the player, as well as the cards. You bluff more against weak-tight players who fold too much, and value-bet mercilessly against calling stations. So, what your opponent's correct move is, depends on your tendencies, and vice versa. Another way to look at it: The stacks go up, and down, but if a player does to much of one thing or another in a particular situation against a mathematically ideal (maximally exploitative game theoretically perfect) player, then, in the long run, said mistake will be costly. A third way to look at it: Since human players are imperfect, your opponent's weaknesses can make actions that would normally be costly profitable. |
#3
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Re: The paradox of making money from opponents mistakes
One thing I would point out is that villain isn't necessarily making a mistake to call. He doesn't have pot odds to call, but likely has implied odds if he catces an A or J on the turn, assuming hero will bet turn or call at least one bet. Villain could also raise hoping to get a free card on the turn if hero bets.
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