Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Gambling > Probability
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 09-12-2005, 12:19 PM
Gavagai Gavagai is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 15
Default Simple hold em odds question

Am I right in thinking that if you flop 5 outs in hold em, you have about a 4:1 shot of hitting one of them by the river? And is this the correct way to work it out?:

1-((42/47)*(41/46)) = 0.20

Thanks,

Gavagai
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 09-12-2005, 12:31 PM
LetYouDown LetYouDown is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Sharing a smoke w/negativity
Posts: 524
Default Re: Simple hold em odds question

Yes.

1 - C(42,2)/C(47,2) = 20.35%
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 09-12-2005, 12:38 PM
Gavagai Gavagai is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 15
Default Re: Simple hold em odds question

Cool thanks. Care to explain what C is and the calculation "C(42,2)/C(47,2)" ? [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 09-12-2005, 12:42 PM
LetYouDown LetYouDown is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Sharing a smoke w/negativity
Posts: 524
Default Re: Simple hold em odds question

Essentially the same thing you did. C = Combinations. Basically determining the number of boards that don't contain any of your outs, over the total number of possible turns/rivers, and then subtracting from 1.

C(47,2) is the number of ways to choose 2 cards from 47. Order is irrelevant.

C(N,R) = N!/[(N-R)! * R!]

C(47,2) = 47!/[(47-2)! * 2!]

C(47,2) = 1081
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 09-12-2005, 12:46 PM
Gavagai Gavagai is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 15
Default Re: Simple hold em odds question

Thanks
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:16 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.