river sexy after turn check/check HU

[Lurker4]

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Can he have a pair like 88-33/J7-67 that just wants to pay 2.5 BB to showdown as opposed to 3 BB from calling my c/r and calling turn + river bets? Those hands don't bet the river but may call if I bet, even on this scary board. Another reason for betting is that since villain is a TAG he may (although its probably unlikely) raise the river w/just an A, so I'll get 2 bets in anyway vs Ax.

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I think this is the most likely scenario and thus I would bet.

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Do you think he pays off with all of those holdings though? This is a scary board and if I didn't have a made hand on the flop some of my nonpair hands have made a pair or better by the river. My only chance of winning a bet from some of his weaker hands may be only by checking and inducing a bluff from like 66-33 that wants to push me off my small pocket pair or weak 7.

[Lmn55d]

eh i think you'd be surprised how often "TAGS" pay off with those type of hands