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  #1  
Old 05-05-2005, 02:20 PM
RutgersKev RutgersKev is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 4
Default Please help me out - protect or gamble?

I'm a lurker here, but I gotta make a post on this one.
Early in a Private $10+1 at Stars 88 people entered, 9 get paid. 65 players left, I'm in about 8th.


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (8 handed) converter

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

CO (t2870)
Button (t1885)
SB (t960)
BB (t3355)
<font color="#C00000">Hero (t3125)</font>
<font color="#C00000">UTG+1 (Villian) (t4795)</font>
MP1 (t1545)
MP2 (t1955)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t150</font>, UTG+1 (Villian) calls t150, <font color="#666666">6 folds</font>.

Flop: (t375) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t250</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Villian raises to t500</font>,

I put him on one spade here. If I push and I'm wrong I still have outs to a boat. But, my question is, is it better to push here knowing your at least a 70% favorite if he only has 1 spade - or is it better to only call and then push the turn if any non-spade falls.

If he didn't have me covered I automatically push here but with a decent stack this early in the tournament is it worth gambling against someone who has you covered?
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  #2  
Old 05-05-2005, 02:21 PM
LethalRose LethalRose is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Ohio
Posts: 139
Default Re: Please help me out - protect or gamble?

im leaning towards a push here.
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  #3  
Old 05-05-2005, 02:37 PM
Lurshy Lurshy is offline
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Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 21
Default Re: Please help me out - protect or gamble?

Go Tarzan and risk the flush
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  #4  
Old 05-05-2005, 02:39 PM
Goodie54 Goodie54 is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 72
Default Re: Please help me out - protect or gamble?

If you think he's going to fold to a push on the flop, why would you call and then push on a non-spade turn? That's seems like the only way to let him get there on the turn. If your pushing, push now so he doesn't get to see a turn.

Peace

Goodie
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  #5  
Old 05-05-2005, 03:55 PM
DemonDeac DemonDeac is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 834
Default Re: Please help me out - protect or gamble?

push
nice size pot at the time you push with BB still 50
if he calls with one spade, you fav
if he calls with made flooosh, got the outs to the boat
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  #6  
Old 05-05-2005, 04:11 PM
snap snap is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Canada
Posts: 34
Default Re: Please help me out - protect or gamble?

I think I push here. If he's made his flush im thinking he'll call you bet instead of raising, hoping that you're drawing dead. Calling here and then turning a spade will put you in a huge hole.
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