Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Gambling > Probability
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 02-06-2003, 10:36 PM
angelo alba angelo alba is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 72
Default Broadway vs Full house.

At a NL tourney you contest a hand against only one other opponent. It's relatively early and neither of you is short stacked.

On the turn you make an ace high straigt, rainbow. You put him on a set. He goes all in.

What are the odds of the board pairing on 5th street? And given the NLHE tourney scenario, would you call?
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 02-06-2003, 11:54 PM
Jimbo Jimbo is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Planet Earth but relocating
Posts: 2,193
Default Re: Broadway vs Full house.

We need to know if one of your hole cards pairs a card on the board to be precise. If not from your perspective he has 11 cards out of 44 unknown possible with which to win, this includes quads not just the full house possibilities. Which gives him a 25% chance to win, from his perspective it is a little less since he does not know your hand. Yes I would beat him in the pot and ask him to be sure he has no more chips hidden under his drink glass!

However the odds aside I can tell you from experience the board will pair 100% of the time under this exact scenario. [img]/forums/images/icons/smile.gif[/img]
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 02-07-2003, 02:17 AM
Bozeman Bozeman is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: On the road again
Posts: 1,213
Default Re: Broadway vs Full house.

Should be only 10 outs to FH (3 cards that can pair * 3 each=9) or Quads (1 card).
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 02-07-2003, 06:33 AM
Billybean Billybean is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2003
Posts: 15
Default Re: Broadway vs Full house.

you are a 5;1 favorite.

Would I call? I would jump up and thank you....lol
I needed your chips......lol
Thanks for the gift.....lol
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 02-07-2003, 11:27 AM
Jimbo Jimbo is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Planet Earth but relocating
Posts: 2,193
Default Re: Broadway vs Full house.

Oops! Dunno where I came up with the extra draw, DOH!

Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 05:44 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.