Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Gambling > Probability

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 04-24-2005, 02:52 PM
JDErickson JDErickson is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: Utah, USA
Posts: 957
Default AA vs KK odd question

Hope the math gods can help me figure this out. SOmething strange has happened to me last 2 days.

Out of 9 KK hands I have played (frequency is correct), I have lost 7 to AA

I think odds of AA vs KK is 23:1

SO what would be odds of losing 7 of 9 to AA?

Thanx
Jim
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 04-24-2005, 05:45 PM
six_4off six_4off is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 21
Default Re: AA vs KK odd question

Well I cant answer your question exactly (at least not the point that I would trust.) However the odds of this happening varies w/ the #of players at the table. The odds of 1 opponent making aa to your kk is 220:1. However if there are 5 opponents at the table table w/ you, the odds of them having aces is 44:1 (220:1/5) However, i do not know the equation for having that happen 7 times.

Im not sure if that helps, but thats as much as I know!

4 6
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 04-24-2005, 08:02 PM
Nottom Nottom is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Hokie Country
Posts: 4,030
Default Re: AA vs KK odd question

[ QUOTE ]
However the odds of this happening varies w/ the #of players at the table. The odds of 1 opponent making aa to your kk is 220:1. However if there are 5 opponents at the table table w/ you, the odds of them having aces is 44:1 (220:1/5)


[/ QUOTE ]

Actually the odds of a specific opponent having AA while you hold KK is about 203:1, remember 2 Ks are no longer available for him to have so his chances are increased.

At a full (10-handed) table, 23:1 is about right for the odds of running into AA while holding KK.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 04-24-2005, 08:09 PM
Nottom Nottom is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Hokie Country
Posts: 4,030
Default Re: AA vs KK odd question

[ QUOTE ]
Hope the math gods can help me figure this out. SOmething strange has happened to me last 2 days.

Out of 9 KK hands I have played (frequency is correct), I have lost 7 to AA

I think odds of AA vs KK is 23:1

SO what would be odds of losing 7 of 9 to AA?

Thanx
Jim

[/ QUOTE ]

I could be wrong, but assume 10-handed table in all cases.

Out of a run of 9 KKs, you will run into AA 7 times about 1 time in 6,436,343. (I just ran 1/23^7*22/23^2 {odds of AA^7 * odds of no AA^2}, this could be an over-simplicication of how do do this)

Against a given AA you should win about 18%, so the odds of those 7 AAs sweeping you are around 3:1.

Odds of running into AA 7 times and having them sweep you is somewhere around 1 in 26 Million.

Obviously, this proves Party is rigged. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 04-24-2005, 10:16 PM
HardCory HardCory is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 5
Default Re: AA vs KK odd question

I recently just posted this exact same question... next time do a search before you post. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 04-25-2005, 12:03 AM
JDErickson JDErickson is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: Utah, USA
Posts: 957
Default Re: AA vs KK odd question

[ QUOTE ]
Obviously, this proves Party is rigged.

[/ QUOTE ]

I knew it
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 02:52 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.