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Old 12-09-2004, 01:02 AM
Cornell Fiji Cornell Fiji is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Ithaca, NY
Posts: 401
Default Re: How do you play the nuts here.

I have not yet looked at results but I assume a heart fell or the board paired and you lost... this is irrelevant.

I think that you have to push here.
It is much harder for one of your opponants to have the nut straight and be freerolling because of your paired jacks with your 9. If I really thought someone was freerolling I would lay down here but would never make that assumption or laydown online.

So you have $6.70 invested in a pot and it is $53 to call. If you lose the main pot here then you can always win the sidepot with MP2 (hopefully he has the trips that dont improve and you make a slight win for the hand -- what is his stack?)

Running the 3 hands (flush draw, top set, your hand) on 2 dimes you have more than 33% equity to win this hand (not even mentioning the fact that you can win the sidepot with MP2, plus you have extra money ($16) in there before the call.

(I am assuming that the set of queens has one heart in his hand.)

cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ac Jc 9c Jd 236 35.44 430 64.56 0 0.00 0.354
3c 4d Ah 2h 166 24.92 500 75.08 0 0.00 0.249
Qs Qd 3d 4h 264 39.64 402 60.36 0 0.00 0.396


Unless you are risk adverse you should definitely call here. Skalansky would call... thats for sure.

-Steve
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