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#1
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Re: Bottom set facing all in
Get a better rythym to the sizing of your bets. $9 on the flop and then $32 on the turn is off-kilter. $15 or so is good on the flop raise. As played, this would be a monster laydown, and I'm not sure I would or could do it. You will see an overpair here enough to call and have it be +EV probably.
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#2
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Re: Bottom set facing all in
aj - Villain is "solid" but doesn't reraise preflop in a 6-way pot with JJ-AA ? Seems unlikely.
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#3
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Re: Bottom set facing all in
[ QUOTE ]
aj - Villain is "solid" but doesn't reraise preflop in a 6-way pot with JJ-AA ? Seems unlikely. [/ QUOTE ] I guess I included 99 in that overpair comment (overpair to the flop). JJ and QQ, especially JJ, don't always reraise that action preflop OOP. |
#4
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Re: Bottom set facing all in
It looks to me like it entirely depends on whether you think he can have AA-JJ here. If his range is QQ-TT,88,44,Ah8h, you're 56% to win and you have to call. If you take out the QQ and JJ, you're 10% to win and have to fold. The just-call on the flop and check-raise on the turn sure would be weird for QQ and JJ, they look a lot more like a set to me. If he was more of a donk I'd be inclined to add in some "wtf" hands (where you call and he turns over AK or 99 and you go "wtf") which give you a free extra 10% chance of winning, but his stats don't look like that.
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#5
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Re: Bottom set facing all in
My gut tells me that it is a monster fold. You "announced" a hand on the flop. The turn bet is in line with the flop. Villian must be aware that you might hold a set and that you would fold overpairs and two pair to a all in. I would not have managed to fold in the head of the battle but from a distance...
Chris. |
#6
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Re: Bottom set facing all in
raise to $20 on the flop
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