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  #21  
Old 10-21-2005, 09:22 AM
SuperJez SuperJez is offline
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Default Re: 50/100 unraised pot, little help probably boring

I think the cold call by the button of a bet and raise before him has to be either a draw or a set, both of which have you crushed on the turn so I would have to muck it there to the pot bet.
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  #22  
Old 10-21-2005, 09:23 AM
KaneKungFu123 KaneKungFu123 is offline
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Default Re: 50/100 unraised pot, little help probably boring

lead turn, or check-fold.
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  #23  
Old 10-21-2005, 09:29 AM
SuperJez SuperJez is offline
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Default Re: 50/100 unraised pot, little help probably boring

Of course you have some good redraws, but you have no implied odds for if you hit them on the river so I would check/fold this turn to that bet

Jez
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  #24  
Old 10-21-2005, 09:32 AM
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Default Re: 50/100 unraised pot, little help probably boring

[ QUOTE ]
he has top pair, his hand is good some % of the time, and because he has the A he isnt making a huge mistake calling regardless of what hands the villains have.

[/ QUOTE ]

So after saying all that can we agree that the turn call is -EV because it is such a transparant draw? Even with the boat redraws given he will lose sometimes if the villian spikes quads on the river. Since we believe sometimes he has a flush he has less flushing outs as well.

[ QUOTE ]
Nice 1st post btw.

[/ QUOTE ]

Sarcasm?

edit, i'm an idiot. i was talking about the turn and you were talking about the flop but i dont want to delete it all.
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  #25  
Old 10-21-2005, 10:55 AM
AceHiStation AceHiStation is offline
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Default Re: 50/100 unraised pot, little help probably boring

I haven't read the responses yet... but I like a call here. Button limps behind preflop. I'm not willing to put him on 99, I think 44 and 66 are possbilities, but I'm willing to pay him off. I don't think he bets that hard with a flush, especially when it isn't the nut. Button could easily be making a position play but more likely I put villain on tripp 9s: 9Ts, J9s, K9, etc. I assume 4-handed on the button he is calling a lot of hands here, and think the possibility of him holding that 4th 9 is very likely.
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  #26  
Old 10-21-2005, 11:20 AM
LearnedfromTV LearnedfromTV is offline
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Default Re: 50/100 unraised pot, little help probably boring

[ QUOTE ]
I'm not willing to put him on 99

[/ QUOTE ]

Out of my league, but even I got this far.
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  #27  
Old 10-21-2005, 11:44 AM
AceHiStation AceHiStation is offline
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Default Re: 50/100 unraised pot, little help probably boring

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I'm not willing to put him on 99

[/ QUOTE ]

Out of my league, but even I got this far.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thank you for your great contribution to this thread.
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  #28  
Old 10-21-2005, 12:21 PM
LearnedfromTV LearnedfromTV is offline
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Default Re: 50/100 unraised pot, little help probably boring

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I'm not willing to put him on 99

[/ QUOTE ]

Out of my league, but even I got this far.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thank you for your great contribution to this thread.

[/ QUOTE ]

You're welcome. Just a joke.

Since you asked, my 'opinion' on the hand in the form of a couple questions:

1. With the flush and paired board, is the button really going to pot value bet a worse 9? What does he expect to call?

2. Why not a river blocking bet of about 2K. Enough to freeze a worse 9 into a call and safely fold to raise?

Edit: These really are questions. Like I said, I'm out of my league. At 2/4 or 3/6 if I check called turn I would block bet river. With a 150BB in a limped pot, most of the time I would check call turn rather than check raise (allin or otherwise).
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  #29  
Old 10-21-2005, 12:31 PM
Lucky Lucky is offline
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Default Re: 50/100 unraised pot, little help probably boring

As you played it, i definitely fold river against most players.

I probably would have led the turn for maybe 1/2 to 2/3 of pot, seemingly asking for a call on made flush.
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