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  #1  
Old 12-28-2005, 06:06 PM
scdavis0 scdavis0 is offline
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Posts: 4
Default Re: Tough river decision

There are some situations where raising the turn is simply incorrect even with a very strong hand.

For instance, I raise 33 pre flop and get re-raised by a TAG blind. The flop comes KJ7 rainbow and it goes check check. The turn is a 3 and he bets 1/3 pot...

Do you want to get all in here as well?
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  #2  
Old 12-28-2005, 04:01 PM
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Default Re: Tough river decision

175/455, you have to be right less than ~40% of the time to profit. I'd say, given the play of the hand, 50% of the time that A on the river cripples you. I see two things happening here that are by far more concrete than some kind of cute play with KhQh. First, he was slow playing a full house from the get go, KK. That's just entirely possible and somewhat clever. Or, two, he hit his A for a full house on the river. The KhQh is less satifsying considering that he would probably make some kind of bet on the flop and just let it go if he met aggression. I'd lay this down, begrudglingly, and perhaps only in theory.
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  #3  
Old 12-28-2005, 08:06 PM
ahnuld ahnuld is offline
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Default Results

I folded, just too many hands got there on the river to beat me and pot odds were not amazing. I think he could have KK, AJ and AA here, possibly JQ JT but I highly doubt it. I think the most likely hand is AJ.
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  #4  
Old 12-29-2005, 01:53 PM
scdavis0 scdavis0 is offline
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Default Re: Results

And I would again contend that aganist that hand range that you enumerated it's better to call the turn and (e)valu(ate)-raise the river.
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  #5  
Old 12-30-2005, 01:20 AM
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Default Re: Tough river decision

[ QUOTE ]
river is an A (offsuit?). Villan leads for 175. Call raise or fold?

[/ QUOTE ]

so what did u do
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