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  #1  
Old 12-07-2005, 01:58 PM
tshort tshort is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 237
Default Re: OT: This football promotion is kinda dumb

Question is up!

Who wins: New Orleans or atlanta

[censored] PP and their stupid [censored] promotions.

Assume a 50% correct guess...

5 of 5 each week: 1 in 32
4 of 5 each week: 1 in 6.4

40 of 40 correct: 1 in a Trillion (Really)

At 60% correct guess: close to 1 in a Billion

It is unlikely anyone gets part of the $1 million.
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  #2  
Old 12-07-2005, 02:00 PM
Hornacek Hornacek is offline
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Location: NYC
Posts: 43
Default Re: OT: This football promotion is kinda dumb

I'd say the odds on Atlanta winning are about 80%. The latest line is 10.5, and I've heard one StDev in football games is about 6 pts. At least this one seems like a gimme, but the lesson of the day (as always) could be...

Variance can be a bitch.
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  #3  
Old 12-07-2005, 02:03 PM
playtitleist playtitleist is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2005
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Default Re: OT: This football promotion is kinda dumb

Well if one can pick 40 in a row, then one deserves a million bones. And nobody else is offering it, so might as well be Party. 30 party points is nothing and you are basically going to earn it anyway.

So it's pretty much free shot at $1M that nobody else is offering. Why are we being so critical of Party on this?
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