Week #2 lines for "3+1 Challenge- 2005"

[bugstud]

$400 - Ravens -3.5
$300 - Ravens over
$200 - Cardinals over
$100 - Packers over

[Vince Young]

$400 Falcons
$300 Browns
$200 Raiders
$100 49ers

[Easy E]

$400 Rams/Cards over 44
$300 Ravens/Titans over 36
$200 Steelers -6
$100 Chiefs/Raiders under 53


Rams/Cards over- Featuring the Rams twice in a row feels like a death wish, but the Cardinals defense didn't show me anything and the turf in Arizona should be baked hard enough that it will feel like fake grass. Neither defense performed well against less than stellar offenses.

Ravens/Titans over- Each team had a rash of turnovers, against a known defense in Pittsburgh and what I suspect is a much stronger Colts defense. Both the Ravens and Titans left at least 6-12 points in the dirt between missed figgies and turnovers.
My sense is that a team cuts way down on their turnovers after Game 1, especially when they have an ugly game of them. Wright will still have a fumble and INT, but that should be it. Plus, the Titans defense isn't a feared one. I'm going with my intuition on this game and expect the over to squeak in.

Steelers -6- The Texans were thumped on the road by a good running team with a good defense. This week they are at home... against a good running team with a good defense. While I expect the turnovers to drop, I'm not impressed with this offense and the defense is still questionable. The Steelers offense might get the over by themselves, so 7 points shouldn't be a problem.

Chiefs/Raiders under- The Chiefs saw a rash of fumbles and a crappy performance by the Jets and still couldn't score 4 touchdowns.... at home. The Raiders and Kerry Collins looked somewhat dysfunctional and the Chiefs D seems to be stronger.
Historically these games have been high-scoring, but I'm going to ride the Chiefs' defense on this one. This may be a public line- if the over/under drops, I may have to reconsider this one.

Games considered and rejected:

<font color="purple">Eagles -13.5 vs 49ers- The Niners gave up a ton of yards and didn't get very many, against a less than stellar defense.. at home. The Niners had a big lead for over half the game, giving them some help against the Rams' passing attack. The Niners completely ground down offensively in the last quarter...
But I don't know about the Eagles yet. They haven't established the run again this year, and waste a lot of foolish play-"action" attempts. Their defense is very solid, and their offense should get off track against a weaker defense, but with the "T.O. revenge" motivation for both teams and the craziness swirling around the Eagles right now, I can't give up the two touchdowns on the road.

This uncertainty made me reject the over/under as well- too tough to tell yet what each team is bringing offensively. The Eagles did not have a stellar start of the season early on in 2004, and they don't look grade-A right now either. </font>
we'll see what CCx has to say on the subject, but I think I'm avoiding the Eagles for a while until things settle down

<font color="blue"> Falcons vs Seahawks- Crappy birds at home vs. a dome team that we're not sure how good they are, especially on the road outdoors. Plus, the -1 Hawks opening line smells something fierce.

[TheRover]

$400 Seahawks
$300 Bucs
$200 Texans
$100 Chargers

It was either Miami or SD for the last spot...

[jedi]

Geez, I suck at this. Good thing I made money in real life by completely forgetting what I picked here.

$400 Patriots -3
$300 Vikings +3
$200 Vikings/Bengals u47
$100 Lions/Bears o34

[judgesmails]

$400 Rams over 44
$300 Bears
$200 Bills under 35
$100 Vikings under 47

[DeucesUp]

$400 Over Ravens/Titans
$300 Chargers
$200 Texans
$100 Under Vikings/Bengals


-- Over Ravens/Titans. Everyone sees Ravens and think "D" and under. Enough reason for me to go Over. This game should go quite a bit higher than Skins/Cowboys (36.5) and Bills/Bucs (35) so 36 looks good to me.

--Chargers. I like getting the 3 on this game.

--Texans. Poor wk1 performance will be over-emphasized. I'll wait for +7(-120) or better for myself (and I think it will get there) but I'll take 6pts here.

--Under Vikings/Bengals. I try not to read too much into week 1 games, but looks like Vik's offense may be miss Moss more than expected.

[MCS]

$400 49ers/Eagles under 43
$300 Chargers +3
$200 Bears +2
$100 Raiders +1.5

No analysis because I was 0-3-1 last week. I'm not analyzing again until I win a game. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

P.S. Since I'm already -$900 one week in, feel free to fade me.

[tshort]

$400 Chiefs
$300 Patriots
$200 Lions
$100 Falcons

[VarlosZ]

First off, I should point out that my evil twin, ZarlosV, logged on under my screen name and entered his bizarro picks last week, resulting in my going 0-4. He's quite mischievous. So if we could wipe the slate clean on my profit/loss for this year, that'd be great.

$400 Colts
$300 Lions/Bears o34
$200 Chiefs/Raiders o53
$100 Texans

Someone's gotta bet the over on the Chiefs game.