Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Gambling > Probability
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #11  
Old 04-18-2005, 06:04 AM
Kristian Kristian is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 157
Default Re: Which method would yeild the greatest net result?

Could you explain your motivation for betting on 2 (or 3)? I don't see any reason for these bets as there is no EV+, just risk.
The correct betting strategy seems to be a combination of 1 and 4 depending on your risk aversion.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 04-18-2005, 06:47 AM
Siegmund Siegmund is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 415
Default Re: Which method would yeild the greatest net result?

As I said in my first post, it's not entirely clear what the OP meant.

If he means paying $1 for a 50-50 chance at winning $2, then yes, that's risk with no +EV.

I and several other responders decided to set that interpretation aside and answer based on the assumption that bet#2 meant losing $1 half the time and winning $2 half the time.

bet#3 is a bad idea under either interpretation. bet#4 is affected only slightly by which interpretation you use.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:18 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.