2+2 at the WSOP ME

[pryor15]

i suspect i may have missed a prev thread, but whatever. i was thinking about this last night, what is the consensus on the odds of a 2+2er winning the main event. and just to clarify, let's say anyone w/ more than 200 posts. 4-1? 8-1? higher? discuss.

[RicktheRuler]

[ QUOTE ]
i suspect i may have missed a prev thread, but whatever. i was thinking about this last night, what is the consensus on the odds of a 2+2er winning the main event. and just to clarify, let's say anyone w/ more than 200 posts. 4-1? 8-1? higher? discuss.

[/ QUOTE ]

Winning the ME? 4:1 or 8:1? Phil Ivey is 25:1 to make the final table. I will bet you almost any amount that a 2+2er does not win.

[pryor15]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
i suspect i may have missed a prev thread, but whatever. i was thinking about this last night, what is the consensus on the odds of a 2+2er winning the main event. and just to clarify, let's say anyone w/ more than 200 posts. 4-1? 8-1? higher? discuss.

[/ QUOTE ]

Winning the ME? 4:1 or 8:1? Phil Ivey is 25:1 to make the final table. I will bet you almost any amount that a 2+2er does not win.

[/ QUOTE ]

just to clarify, i don't mean a specific 2+2er, but the 'field'. there's gotta be a bunch of us playing. (not me, sadly, but a bunch anyway)

my math's not good on a saturday, but if raymer's 325:1 and daniel n.'s 200:1 and sklanky's 700:1, then combined they're what?

edit: daniel's got much fewer posts than i thought.

[MicroBob]

Of course, this brings up the question of How many 2+2'ers with 200+ posts will be playing the main-event in the first place.


Do we have 200 or so?



Also - since when does Daniel count as a 2+2'er. he's stopped by here a few times but he doesn't even have more than 10-15 posts does he?
FWIW - I also would not consider Greenstein to be a 2+2'er either.

Sklansky and Raymer obviously are though.

[The Armchair]

There are probably 20 or so 2+2ers in the ME. Maybe significantly more, hard to say. Just based on the # of entrants alone, I think you have to start it at about 100:1 -- but 8:1 is nuts.

[pryor15]

yeah, i thought he was around more. my bad. that changes things a lot. i was thinking we had 200-300 including daniel, but apparantly i was way off.

[RicktheRuler]

If Greenstein, Phillips, Negreanu and the few other pros that post on here count as 2+2er I would need to see the spread first.

[MicroBob]

I would be surprised if we only had 20.


me
dogsballs
jurollo
granny
odoyle rules
amazon
corey
nick-zack
nick b
alobar
sklansky
raymer
equal

guessing that daryn is a strong possibility.



that's 14 just off the top of my head and I didn't even look at the 'Your WSOP day 1 assignment' threads to refresh my memory.



I think we had 20 or so 2+2'ers on the PPM cruise and that event only had 700 players.
Pokerstars is sending almost 1k players....surely we have at least 20 in that bunch alone.

[Howard Treesong]

I don't have 200 posts yet, but I'm getting there. I'm guessing that PaulP has 200+ posts. And if Vince Lepore can find a backer, I'm sure he counts as well.

I ran across a number of 2+2ers in the 2K limit event: at least three that I played against. That field was far smaller, of course.

[HavanaBanana]

Hey I am playing too! and many 2+2 ers got a piece of me too, so how many do I count as?! [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

ToT