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#1
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Alert: Party BBJ now +EV through 5/10 level
As of 6:42 PM $258,300
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#2
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Re: Alert: Party BBJ now +EV through 5/10 level
At what level does it become +EV?
I remember there being a post working it out, but I can't find it for the life of me. |
#3
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Re: Alert: Party BBJ now +EV through 5/10 level
[ QUOTE ]
At what level does it become +EV? I remember there being a post working it out, but I can't find it for the life of me. [/ QUOTE ] $2-$4 $193,205.51 $3-$6 $222,151.66 $5-$10 $247,629.10 $10-$20 $275,848.94 $15-$30 $262,267.69 |
#4
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Re: Alert: Party BBJ now +EV through 5/10 level
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] At what level does it become +EV? I remember there being a post working it out, but I can't find it for the life of me. [/ QUOTE ] $2-$4 $193,205.51 $3-$6 $222,151.66 $5-$10 $247,629.10 $10-$20 $275,848.94 $15-$30 $262,267.69 [/ QUOTE ] this is so wrong it's not even funny. |
#5
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Re: Alert: Party BBJ now +EV through 5/10 level
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] At what level does it become +EV? I remember there being a post working it out, but I can't find it for the life of me. [/ QUOTE ] $2-$4 $193,205.51 $3-$6 $222,151.66 $5-$10 $247,629.10 $10-$20 $275,848.94 $15-$30 $262,267.69 [/ QUOTE ] this is so wrong it's not even funny. [/ QUOTE ] What is the correct answer then? Inquiring minds want to know. |
#6
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Re: Alert: Party BBJ now +EV through 5/10 level
[ QUOTE ]
this is so wrong it's not even funny. [/ QUOTE ] How is that wrong?? Its not like I just made it up. If it was wrong don't you think the 805432412 who see this page on BW.com would have said something? http://www.bonuswhores.com/party-poker.php |
#7
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Re: Alert: Party BBJ now +EV through 5/10 level
i actually HAVE said something about this on several occasions (in various threads regarding the BBJ).
I agree with Reef's assessment. It is just silly and I would be interested in where the hell they got these numbers from. Why it would be -EV at $200k at 5/10 but +EV at 2/4 where the $0.50 drop represents a greater percentage of the BB is beyond me. I'm no Homer or Ed Miller when it comes to the math. I pretty much suck at that stuff and if all of this 2+2 probability-math education was an actual class I would probably need to cheat just to squeak by with a B-....but I'm still pretty convinced (until proven otherwise) that these numbers have to be incorrect. |
#8
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Re: Alert: Party BBJ now +EV through 5/10 level
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] At what level does it become +EV? I remember there being a post working it out, but I can't find it for the life of me. [/ QUOTE ] $2-$4 $193,205.51 $3-$6 $222,151.66 $5-$10 $247,629.10 $10-$20 $275,848.94 $15-$30 $262,267.69 [/ QUOTE ] this is so wrong it's not even funny. [/ QUOTE ] If it's materially wrong, this is the 1st I've heard of it, and I crunched those numbers quite awhile ago. |
#9
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Re: Alert: Party BBJ now +EV through 5/10 level
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] At what level does it become +EV? I remember there being a post working it out, but I can't find it for the life of me. [/ QUOTE ] $2-$4 $193,205.51 $3-$6 $222,151.66 $5-$10 $247,629.10 $10-$20 $275,848.94 $15-$30 $262,267.69 [/ QUOTE ] this is so wrong it's not even funny. [/ QUOTE ] If it's materially wrong, this is the 1st I've heard of it, and I crunched those numbers quite awhile ago. [/ QUOTE ] apologies Jek if I'm in over my head, but it just seems fundamentally wrong for the jackpot to have to be HIGHER for 15/30 players. |
#10
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Re: Alert: Party BBJ now +EV through 5/10 level
Ok yes, that's interesting and I concur that your calculations are probably correct and that the Bad Beat Jackpots become +EV but....
...is it not an overlay on a low-probability event ? In other words, for the time you have to sit there and swing in a ring game with BBJ the ring game itself should still have a positive +EV for the effort to be worthwhile. Otherwise, isn't this all really just an academic exercise for theoreticians? For example, we have a lottery in Canada that's called 6-49, and you must get 6 numbers correct out of 49 numbers drawn to win the jackpot. Now, we all know that it's ~ 13 Million - 1 to win the jackpot, but if the jackpot sometimes rises to $16, even $20 Million I don't buy a ticket because I'm still risking $2 on a very improbable event. Anyone shed any light on my analysis, or is this much different with the BBJ poker? Thanks, Karatitis Toronto, Canada |
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