turned trips/suspect kicker

detruncate · #1 08-29-2004, 07:46 PM

Party Poker 0.50/1 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

Button is listed at 22% vp$ip, 5% pfr, 3.9 tot-agg. over 100 or so hands. Other guy limps into half the pots and is below 1.5 tot-agg.

Preflop: Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
1 fold, UTG+1 calls, 1 fold, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, CO calls, Button calls, SB completes, Hero checks,

Flop: (7 SB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (7 players)
SB checks, Hero bets, UTG+1 folds, MP2 folds, MP3 folds, CO calls, Button raises, SB folds, Hero calls, CO calls.

Turn: (6.50 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero ???

Sent · #2 08-29-2004, 07:54 PM

I would go for a check-raise, that should tell the button what you have and you can see how he reacts. He could have a set and have you drawing to only an Ace or 6, very hard to tell.

-Sent

cab4656 · #3 08-29-2004, 08:39 PM

I would bet out. Button's raise could be a free card play, and it would suck if this got checked through. If he raises you again, then call down.

Entity · #4 08-29-2004, 08:39 PM

[ QUOTE ]
I would go for a check-raise, that should tell the button what you have and you can see how he reacts. He could have a set and have you drawing to only an Ace or 6, very hard to tell.

-Sent

[/ QUOTE ]
I would lead out, because button may be on a flush draw and may be going for a free card play.

Rob

detruncate · #5 08-29-2004, 10:25 PM

Party Poker 0.50/1 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
1 fold, UTG+1 calls, 1 fold, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, CO calls, Button calls, SB completes, Hero checks,

Flop: (7 SB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (7 players)
SB checks, Hero bets, UTG+1 folds, MP2 folds, MP3 folds, CO calls, Button raises, SB folds, Hero calls, CO calls.

Turn: (6.50 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero checks, CO checks, Button bets, Hero raises, CO folds, Button calls.

River: (10.50 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets, Button calls.

Final Pot: 12.50 BB
Main Pot: 12.50 BB, between Button and Hero. > Split: Button (6.25 BB), Hero (6.25 BB).

Results:
Hero shows Ad 6s (three of a kind, aces).
Button shows Ah 7h (three of a kind, aces).
Outcome: Button wins 6.25 BB. Hero wins 6.25 BB.

I took a look at Button's aggro stats, and they were well over 3 on every street. Seemed to suggest a good chance that he'd keep betting even if he was on a draw. Might have been a mistake, but it turned out ok in the end. I would have bet out for sure against a less agressive opponent.