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Old 04-07-2003, 03:45 PM
wdbaker wdbaker is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Denver, Co
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Default Anyone using this method of calculating % chance

All,
I read about this in a new book but can't remember the name.
To calculate percent chance of hitting one of your outs, you multiply the # of outs times cards left times 2
example: 4 flush on the flop, 2 streets to go, 4X2X2= 16% chance of hitting it. The author didn't claim that it was perfect but close of enough for calculation on the fly. What do you think and best way to convert to odds for comparison to pot. would it just be 100/6.25 ?

thanks
wdbaker
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  #2  
Old 04-07-2003, 09:49 PM
AceHigh AceHigh is offline
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Default Re: Anyone using this method of calculating % chance

It's close enough, but you are doing it wrong. A 4-flush would by 9 x 2 x 2 = 36%*. For (100-36)/36 or a little better than 2 to 1.

* - It's actually about 35% and 1.8:1.
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