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  #1  
Old 11-30-2005, 08:43 PM
Steve Steve is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Florida
Posts: 13
Default $33 MTT, Is this too early to start panicking

Is this too early for a move like this? I still have 6.5 BB but I'm going to lose 1200 chips to the blinds in a few hands.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t800 (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

SB (t24206)
BB (t13680)
UTG (t16598)
UTG+1 (t5290)
UTG+2 (t2350)
MP1 (t8310)
Hero (t5359)
MP3 (t62147)
CO (t72520)
Button (t25451)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, Hero is all in.
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  #2  
Old 11-30-2005, 08:46 PM
rbear rbear is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 18
Default Re: $33 MTT, Is this too early to start panicking

read on MP3 and CO worry me here. BB will most likely fold.
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  #3  
Old 11-30-2005, 09:27 PM
Solitare Solitare is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 29
Default Re: $33 MTT, Is this too early to start panicking

With 5 to act after you, all with stacks &gt; 10xBB, I think you have very little fold equity here. So you are essentially betting the strength of your hand, which will probably only give you a 30-35% chance against a single caller. Which is about the same as playing any two cards. Would you go all-in with a 63s here? There is not much of a difference between the two. What is worse, with your stack you could easily get two callers. Then you are really in trouble.

It is very likely you will see a better hand than J7s in the next few hands. Even if the blinds hit you, you will have 5xBB and still retain some fold equity when you are in the SB, BB, and CO. You will get a better chance than this.

With your stack I'd definitely push J7s from the button, maybe the CO depending on reads and my recent stealing activity, but no way from MP2.
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