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  #11  
Old 11-21-2005, 02:21 AM
mterry mterry is offline
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Default Re: Bizarre event, how likely is this?

Also, if 100,000 people are currently on online poker sites, there is some small chance that some rare occurences will happen AND be seen by at least one player AND that player will then post on 2+2. Multiply those probabilities and you will have the probability that we get a thread like this one.

Back to LHE.

Mike
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  #12  
Old 11-21-2005, 03:26 AM
Daniture Daniture is offline
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Default Re: Bizarre event, how likely is this?

pfft thats nothing.

I got AQo one hand with a flop of QJ9.

Next hand i got AQo

the flop. QJ9

On both hands there was a 2 flush on the flop as well!
Definately RIGGGED!
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  #13  
Old 11-21-2005, 04:34 AM
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Default Re: Bizarre event, how likely is this?

[ QUOTE ]
I've decided to lurk over from small stakes to see what people post here in Poker Theory. You guys don't believe online poker is 'rigged' do you?

[/ QUOTE ]

how can you still doubt when something like this happens?
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  #14  
Old 11-21-2005, 11:22 AM
tek tek is offline
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Default Re: Bizarre event, how likely is this?

I've had the same hand (different suits) two or three hands in a row on live and online tables on multiple occasions.

I've even had the same hand (different suits) on two different tables simultaneously (while multi-tabling) online.

Stuff like that happens.
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  #15  
Old 11-21-2005, 11:36 AM
Guernica4000 Guernica4000 is offline
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Default Re: Bizarre event, how likely is this?

Playing in a home game I got dealt two black aces the very next hand I got the exact same black aces. Anyone looking at me would have pick up my tell because I looked at the color of the deck being played to make sure I didn't just keep my first two cards ;-).

Live poker is rigged too.
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  #16  
Old 11-21-2005, 05:37 PM
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Default Re: Bizarre event, how likely is this?

Can't tell you what the odds are, but I bet they're less than the odds of flopping a royal flush. So if you ever see that you KNOW the site is rigged.
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  #17  
Old 11-21-2005, 06:04 PM
lotus776 lotus776 is offline
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Default Re: Bizarre event, how likely is this?

agreed, report these situations immediately..




























































lol
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  #18  
Old 11-21-2005, 09:47 PM
hagel666 hagel666 is offline
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Default Re: Bizarre event, how likely is this?

[ QUOTE ]
I played a hand on Empire and lost to a guy that had pocket fours and the flop hit him hard for another pair of fours, I typed that he was a lucky one and that I never was that lucky. The next hand I was dealt pocket fours and then flopped quads. I guess Empire is rigged too.

[/ QUOTE ]
Yeah that was pretty unlikely too with the quads, you gotta wonder [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[ QUOTE ]
Later in the session I got pocket AA and they won. That is when I knew for sure Empire was rigged.

[/ QUOTE ]
lol
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  #19  
Old 11-21-2005, 09:56 PM
hagel666 hagel666 is offline
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Default Re: Bizarre event, how likely is this?

[ QUOTE ]
Totally wrong way of looking at it.

How many times have you played about 90 hands and that not happened?

Let me give you an analogy.

Let's say the chances of walking around a corner and bumping into someone you haven't seen for 40 years is about 2 million to one.

I imagine that you walk around billions of corners in your life.

Thus, although on any PARTICULAR occassion it would be weird to bump into said person but in your entire life it would be weird if you that 'coincidence' didn't happen.

Likewise with the poker. If you said, "what is the probability that within the next 90 hands , we get 2 hands where I get the same starting hand and the flop is identical, then the probability is very small.

However, the probability of this hapening within the space of 90 hands at some point is vitually certain because of the number of hands played.

In fact, if this never happened on PP where they are currently on hand number 3,070,044,011 then that would be better evidence of a fix.

Why fix it anyway? They take the rake, so what do they care?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah I know unlikely events happens all the time, just thought this was pretty special because of same player/pos/flop. And I thought it would be fun to know what the probability is.....but I guess it's to many variables and to complicated equation to solve.

For your info, I didn't say it was fixed/rigged or anything [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
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  #20  
Old 11-21-2005, 10:06 PM
hagel666 hagel666 is offline
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Posts: 25
Default Re: Bizarre event, how likely is this?

[ QUOTE ]
I got dealt AK 5 times in a row on the same table once, different suits only one was suited

[/ QUOTE ]

Wow, that's really unlikely.

To be dealt AK 3 times in a row is about 0.000181%

......5 times in a row...hmm....my computer calculator can't give a readable answer [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]
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