The Master Plan

[DeathbySuckout]

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I am in almost the exact same situation. After killing the 20s and 30s in August I have hit a MAJOR downswing worsened by some tilty play. I have about 200 BR and I need about 1500 by the end of November. Don't know if I'll make it but I think I can do it. I'm 2 tabling 11s now. ROR be damned I haven't made a deposit since Easter Sunday. If I have to make one before next Easter I'll be dissapointed but I have made alot of money this year at poker so I'll get over it.

Straight Flushes,

SAM

PS. Suited Ace PM me and we can support each other.

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This is exactly where I am at right now also. $200, 2 tabling the $11s, trying to make christmas money by Black Friday.

[pergesu]

I think pooh's point is that variance is a bitch, and it seems like it doesn't shine your way when you really need it. You can play the absolute best poker of your life over the next two months and be up nine grand or stuck three. So it's a lot better to make goals like, "I want to play XX tourneys in XX days." Cause you can just never be sure how much money you'll make, even if you're playing well.

Best of luck.

[multifast1]

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...This would make my goal of $6k almost impossible to reach, but I have one last trick in my sleeve: MTTs. I want to play at least 1 MTT per day during this period. Variance is huge there, but it also opens the possibility of hitting a big score....

[/ QUOTE ]
You had a problem managing your bankroll before?? [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img] Why not play the slots or roulette instead? They've got an even bigger payoput if you hit.. Oh wait.. the Lotto!! Ain't variance a biatch though -

Honestly, skip the MTT stuff unless it's part of your longterm plan, not a short term goal of the $6K. As for the BR question, why wait to move up to the 22s if you feel you can beat them now? Seriously? If you run cold and lose your bankroll are you going to stop playing? Probably not. I say you're throwing money away playing the 6s and 11s if you feel you have proven you can beat the 22s for %15 ROI. And your goal is to make X amount by X date, not to continue learning and get better at the lower levels so you can compete at the 22s (not saying you can crush the 22s, but you've stated YOU feel you can).

Best of luck reaching your goal!

[J-Lo]

i thought this thread would be about the extermination of the jews

[suited_ace]

Thx pergesu. I know you guys are right, but I just need something to shoot for, even if it's impossible.

[suited_ace]

MTTs are part of the long term plan. I might reconsider the whole 1 MTT / day thing, though.

Playing the $22s w/ the BR I have right now is just suicidal. Do a Monte Carlo simulation w/ my ROI and you'll see how common 10BI downsizings are.

[freemoney]

to be down any significant amount of money over 1600 SnGs means its pretty impossible you are a real winning player at the level.

[Slim Pickens]

I have a hard time believing such a small bankroll (in comparison to what you're trying to make) isn't easily replenishable. If it's not, I think you're goal of $6k is unobtainable. Plus, I think specific $$ goals are a bad idea from a psychological standpoint. My advice is to start at the 22's with 10 BI's and go on a heater for the first 100. If you don't, put in a few days digging sewer trenches and give poker another shot once you have another $200.

[multifast1]

[ QUOTE ]
MTTs are part of the long term plan. I might reconsider the whole 1 MTT / day thing, though.

Playing the $22s w/ the BR I have right now is just suicidal. Do a Monte Carlo simulation w/ my ROI and you'll see how common 10BI downsizings are.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes, but how often do you have a 10BI downswing right off the bat?? You'll likely build a bigger BR before seeing one of those swings. Besides, is your current BR really your ONLY bankroll? If so, then OK but if you really are good enough to beat the 22s for 15% ROI, then you're pissing money away playing 6s and 11s (but definitely the 6s!!).

[multifast1]

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i thought this thread would be about the extermination of the jews

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Why do you think I took the time to read the whole thread?? [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img] j/k of course!