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View Poll Results: A5s | |||
raise | 180 | 89.11% | |
limp | 8 | 3.96% | |
fold | 14 | 6.93% | |
Voters: 202. You may not vote on this poll |
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#1
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Lets together count Hero\'s outs.... Would you?
I'll try to make usefull post [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
In this hand how many outs my draw worth? And so would you call a turn? And, alas, how about flop. Raise is good? Only 10 hands on SB, but he played 6 of them and raised 3 of them (in real life I see only his stats so I will not say what hands he plays/raised) Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (10 handed) converter Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">6 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB 3-bets</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls. Flop: (7 SB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, SB calls. Turn: (5.50 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, Hero calls. River: (7.50 BB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, Hero folds. Final Pot: 8.50 BB |
#2
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Re: Lets together count Hero\'s outs.... Would you?
Roughly 5.5 outs. If SB has AK we have 6 outs, if SB has KQ we have 7 outs, if SB has KK or QQ, we have 4 outs, AA is 6 outs. Average of 5.75 outs, minus flush draw discounting, plus the chance he doesn't have a hand at all for about 5.5 outs. Haha my calculations are so suspect.
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#3
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Re: Lets together count Hero\'s outs.... Would you?
If SB has AK we have 4 outs.
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#4
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Re: Lets together count Hero\'s outs.... Would you?
[ QUOTE ]
Roughly 5.5 outs. If SB has AK we have 6 outs, if SB has KQ we have 7 outs, if SB has KK or QQ, we have 4 outs, AA is 6 outs. Average of 5.75 outs, minus flush draw discounting, plus the chance he doesn't have a hand at all for about 5.5 outs. Haha my calculations are so suspect. [/ QUOTE ] So - you fold this turn? |
#5
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Re: Lets together count Hero\'s outs.... Would you?
[ QUOTE ]
If SB has AK we have 4 outs. [/ QUOTE ] 4 tens + 2 queens = 6 outs EDIT: against AK, each T results in a split pot... kills our odds really. Maybe I agree with the 4 outs then. |
#6
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Re: Lets together count Hero\'s outs.... Would you?
Ooops, split pot. So more like 5 outs total?
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#7
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Re: Lets together count Hero\'s outs.... Would you?
Yeah, I fold the turn, but when I'm actually playing I 'm more likely just to guess how many out I have and base my action on that.
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#8
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Re: Lets together count Hero\'s outs.... Would you?
I think his range is probably JJ+, AKs, AKo, and AQs/AQo but I think these last two should be lessened in probability. Turn call seems pretty thin.
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#9
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Re: Lets together count Hero\'s outs.... Would you?
I would not be surprised to see a JJ or TT here, both of which improve on the turn and give SB a reason to donk it. She sounds aggressive, so I call into question why she didn't continue on the flop. Other possibilities are AJ or JTs.
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#10
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Re: Lets together count Hero\'s outs.... Would you?
Fold the turn or call him down.
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