wizards/clippers tonight

mike l. · #1 11-09-2005, 05:43 PM

im pretty sure the wizards will handle the clippers in washington. am i wrong?

#2 11-09-2005, 05:49 PM

Two things to consider: (1) Antonio Daniels is out for the Wizards, to be replaced by Jarvis Hayes, and (2) Maggette might be back tonight for LAC. The Clippers have played pretty well without him.

sublime · #3 11-09-2005, 06:07 PM

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am i wrong?

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i hope so [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

TheRover · #4 11-09-2005, 06:14 PM

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i hope not [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

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under also plz

Hmm. I got under 186.5 at -129. I wonder if I should try to middle this.

sublime · #5 11-09-2005, 06:20 PM

Hmm. I got under 186.5 at -129. I wonder if I should try to middle this.

why, do you think over 182.5 is a good play?

TheRover · #6 11-09-2005, 06:30 PM

No, not really. I'm just wondering out loud so to speak.

sublime · #7 11-09-2005, 07:18 PM

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No, not really. I'm just wondering out loud so to speak.

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if you dont think over 182.5 is a good play, then you dont go for the 'middle'. what ends up happening is this. lines that move for you (like this one) have a greater chance of winning than plays that move against you, or not at all. if you try and 'middle' your good plays, you suck up all the EV in those and remain on the coinflips at full price.

of course, if you think there is value in the over 182.5 then its a independent +EV bet and the chance to catch a middle is just an added bonus.

DougOzzzz · #8 11-09-2005, 10:30 PM

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am i wrong?

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yes