Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > Other Topics > Politics
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #11  
Old 12-08-2005, 03:16 AM
Il_Mostro Il_Mostro is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Sweden
Posts: 72
Default Re: Exponential growth!

[ QUOTE ]
Similair claims have been made for centuries. Pick a resource. This is not to say that depletion is not possible, but it is also not inevitable.

[/ QUOTE ]

Depletion is inevitable. What is not inevitable is any form of catastrophic result from said depletion.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 12-08-2005, 03:42 AM
lehighguy lehighguy is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 590
Default Re: Exponential growth!

Use of all oil reserves is not inevitable, an alternative fuel could be discovered tommorrow.
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 12-08-2005, 04:00 AM
Il_Mostro Il_Mostro is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Sweden
Posts: 72
Default Re: Exponential growth!

[ QUOTE ]
Use of all oil reserves is not inevitable, an alternative fuel could be discovered tommorrow.

[/ QUOTE ]
I'm not talking about oil specifically. But of course you are correct. There is a non-zero chanse that tomorrow someone finds an alternative fuel that beats oil in all ways and especially in price. It's non-zero, but it's darn close to zero.

But even so, of course we will not use up all oil in the ground, we simply can't get to it. So if by "depletion" you mean using up every last bit, then no, that won't happen. But that's not really what's interesting, is it.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 12-08-2005, 12:38 PM
MtSmalls MtSmalls is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: CO
Posts: 148
Default Re: GDP?

Wow. What a huge leap from GDP to per capita GDP to income and back again. GDP literally has nothing to do with income. Its simply an estimate (and others have commented on how bad these estimates have been over time) of the market value of all the final goods and services produced (in this case) U.S companies and individuals inside the U.S (not to be confused with the sub-set: GNP, just those goods and services produced by US companies around the world).

Per Capita Income, though related generally, has little or nothing to do with GDP. Look at the most recent 'productivity' numbers released, which showed the American worker being more "productive" than ever. Why? The major increase in productivity wasn't the number of 'units' produced, but that the average wage paid for labor went down 1% on a real basis, making the COST of producing the same number of units lower.

The power of compounding is a wonderous thing. It can be applied to almost everything. Including our national debt. If a policy were enacted that lowered GDP by 1%, but lowered our deficit by MORE than 1%, wouldn't that be a positive increase in our overall economy??
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 12-08-2005, 03:22 PM
Jedi Flopper Jedi Flopper is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 1
Default Re: Exponential growth!

[ QUOTE ]
That of course is a good thing. However, there seems to be quite a lot of evidence that even current usage of many resources (such as fresh water and fish) is unsustainable.

And then of course we have China and India. You don't think they'd like to raise their level of use a bit?

[/ QUOTE ]

The human race will become extinct looooong before we run out of fresh water. It is not even close. I will let others elaborate.
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 12-08-2005, 06:43 PM
lehighguy lehighguy is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 590
Default Re: GDP?

Per capita income and per capita production are closely correlated. Almost identical, especially over long periods of time. If you do a regression, I'm sure you'll find this to be true.

As for the last paragraph, not sure what you are smoking. Only a crazy liberal could think of economic welfare in terms of its effect on the federal budget.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 12-09-2005, 05:25 AM
Il_Mostro Il_Mostro is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Sweden
Posts: 72
Default Re: Exponential growth!

I belive you need to read up on things.

Or else you know about a nuclear war I havn't heard of yet.
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 12-09-2005, 05:44 AM
peritonlogon peritonlogon is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 120
Default Re: Exponential growth!

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
That of course is a good thing. However, there seems to be quite a lot of evidence that even current usage of many resources (such as fresh water and fish) is unsustainable.

And then of course we have China and India. You don't think they'd like to raise their level of use a bit?

[/ QUOTE ]

The human race will become extinct looooong before we run out of fresh water. It is not even close. I will let others elaborate.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think they may well happen at the same time.
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 12-09-2005, 12:42 PM
MtSmalls MtSmalls is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: CO
Posts: 148
Default Re: GDP?

I suppose being an economist by training, I look at the entire picture, rather than the part that fits my worldview.

How in the world does the Federal Budget NOT affect economic welfare?? Particularly in light of the massive debt, being added to on a daily basis? Put into microeconomic terms, is YOUR personal economic welfare NOT better off when you lower your monthly debt payments??

Does Federal spending, such as highway funds, building projects, military bases and welfare not ADD to the overall economy (at least in the areas that the $ are spent?
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 12-09-2005, 12:58 PM
Jedi Flopper Jedi Flopper is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 1
Default Re: Exponential growth!

Do you even know where fresh water comes from? I believe YOU need to research the hydrological cycle then come back here and tell me how we are running out of water on the planet.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 10:02 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.