interesting QQ hand

[stu-unger]

reads- villain is pretty loose nothing crazy. he hasn't shown down any rags in raised pots, but he has shown one pair in a couple big pots. he doesnt seem very good, but ive only played like 80 hands with him.

50nl 6max
effective stack ~50
hero is dealt Q [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]Q [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] in the BB

pre flop- MP limps, CO raises to 2, folds to hero who raises to 7, only CO calls.

flop (14.75)-8 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]6 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]2 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
hero bets 13, villain calls.

turn (40.75)-A [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
hero...

ive only got 30 left, and i have the second nut flush draw. im lost here. i think villains range is like any set, pps 55-JJ, AK and AQ maybe.

[orange]

This is a tough spot. Nearly any bet (even 1/2 pot) commits you. What hands will villan call your flop bet with? I think a PP, or maybe a [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] draw. I really don't know what to do- either bet/call any raise or c/f. c/f-ing seems weak, but maybe reasonable here.

[kongo_totte]

Well, that ace very likely did not help him and it makes the flush unlikely. I push, hoping to fold out K K no heart and maybe get a call from Jh Jx.

[Postiga]

How about a small bet inviting a bluff raise. If you're going to bet 15 and call a push, why not give him a chance to bluff. You may be afraid of the Kh, but this is another option to consider.

[Malachii]

Push

[teamdonkey]

[ QUOTE ]
Well, that ace very likely did not help him and it makes the flush unlikely. I push, hoping to fold out K K no heart and maybe get a call from Jh Jx.

[/ QUOTE ]

these two hands make up an extremely small percentage of villains range here... making a play because it's +EV against those two isn't good.

A push here only folds hands you want in, and only gets called by hands you dont want to see. I'm c/c a smallish bet here, c/f to a push.

[kongo_totte]

[ QUOTE ]


these two hands make up an extremely small percentage of villains range here

[/ QUOTE ]

Extremely small percentage? What, like 2%? I'd say KK-TT are villians absolutely 3 most likely holdings.
What else do you put him on?

[teamdonkey]

from OPs description of him, at 0.25/0.50 6-max, i think the hand range he gave looks pretty good... 55-JJ, AQ/AK. Even against KK-1010 i don't think pushing is the best action.

[4_2_it]

Push. His call of your flop committed you to this one. Terrible turn, but checking says you are giving up on the hand and you do not have a big enough stack to try a check raise (which shoul dfold everything except the flush), so I think you have to push.

[emil3000]

Gotta push here man, too committed. It's not so bad anyway, you still got a lot of his hands beat.