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#1
03-10-2005, 03:47 PM
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AA Weak River at Party 50
Villian has a 30% vpip with no raises after 30 hands~
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed) converter UTG+2 ($49.5) Hero ($58.55) MP2 ($69.2) MP3 ($39.95) CO ($50) Button ($73.05) SB ($24.3) BB ($44.85) UTG ($41.75) UTG+1 ($19.5) Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. CO posts a blind of $0.5. SB posts a blind of $0.25. <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2.5</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP3 calls $2.50, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, BB calls $2. Flop: ($8.25) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $6</font>, MP3 folds, BB calls $6. Turn: ($20.25) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $10</font>, BB calls $10. River: ($40.25) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> BB checks, Hero checks. Final Pot: $40.25 
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#2
03-10-2005, 03:59 PM
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Re: AA Weak River at Party 50
Thats a definate value bet on the river. He could easily have a mid pocket pair, k9, a9. If he has the 4, so be it, but you have to bet there. I think $15 seems like a good amount on the river. He'll call you with top pair or any pocket pair since he's already pot commited, so this isnt a case where if you bet he either folds or raises.
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#4
03-11-2005, 01:50 AM
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Re: AA Weak River at Party 50
[ QUOTE ]
Bet 1/2 pot on the river. [/ QUOTE ] Yeah, this is solid OP: The best time to check behind on the river is when a draw missed, so the most likely hand for an opponent is something like ace/king high (cant call a bet) or a monster (which will check raise you, or perhaps just check hoping to induce a bluff/value bet from weaker hand) Or when a draw hits, and you suspect the villain either had it (and therefore will c/r you) or is afraid of it (and wont pay a bet with something like top pair bad kicker/etc) On this board it's very drawless, and given villain checked the river, I wouldn't be afraid of trips. Bet as much as top pair will call. Against TRICKY players who will c/r on this type of board (rare) checking behind is ok, but you're missing value here.
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