$55 AQ hand help

not really any reads early in tourney.
Preflop how many fold this EP?
now that its to the river, how many find a fold?

Full Tilt Poker Game #319878582: $50 + $5 Sit & Go (2075957), Table 1 - 15/30 - No Limit Hold'em - 3:50:05 ET - 2005/12/04
Seat 1: Glupia Malpa (1,470)
Seat 2: thrillamc (1,560)
Seat 3: Huge Dome (1,470)
Seat 4: sruba (1,500)
Seat 5: jlk1141 (1,440)
Seat 6: SeelySW (1,500)
Seat 7: HERO (1,470)
Seat 8: mthibaul (1,590)
Seat 9: Player813 (1,500)
Huge Dome posts the small blind of 15
sruba posts the big blind of 30
The button is in seat #2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to HERO [Qd As]
jlk1141 raises to 60
SeelySW folds
HERO calls 60
mthibaul has 15 seconds left to act
mthibaul is sitting out
mthibaul has timed out
mthibaul folds
mthibaul has returned
Player813 folds
Glupia Malpa folds
thrillamc folds
Huge Dome folds
sruba folds
*** FLOP *** [Ac 8c Jh]
jlk1141 bets 165
HERO raises to 350
jlk1141 calls 185
*** TURN *** [Ac 8c Jh] [2s]
jlk1141 checks
HERO bets 400
jlk1141 calls 400
*** RIVER *** [Ac 8c Jh 2s] [3d]
jlk1141 bets 630, and is all in

Villian holds AK, AJ or Kx of clubs? Two out of those three are not good for Hero. The way he played it could either be walking the dog or just dead-set on drawing to his flush. At the $11s he's drawing to his flush, not sure about the $55s.

Still don't think I'd be folding on the end. This mostly because I sux0r.

[bigt439]

Call pf.

Call flop.

Check turn.

Call/bet river.

[rbear]

[ QUOTE ]
Call pf.

Call flop.

Check turn.

Call/bet river.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think it's ok to call/check river too.

[bigt439]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Call pf.

Call flop.

Check turn.

Call/bet river.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think it's ok to call/check river too.

[/ QUOTE ]

The turn and river both can't go check check or you'll almost always miss value.

[rbear]

Yea, I guess by this point if you're behind, villian will lead out. 400 sound good? Little less, little more?

[tigerite]

Don't play it like I did last night and lose to moron's AJ (who called my pf raise, but meh whatever)

[patrick dicaprio]

you have to call the river here given the size of the pot. honestly i am at a loss to guess what he has, there are a number of hands he could have, and if he had a big hand that beats you he certainly played it strangely given his stack size.

Pat

[ QUOTE ]
you have to call the river here given the size of the pot. honestly i am at a loss to guess what he has, there are a number of hands he could have, and if he had a big hand that beats you he certainly played it strangely given his stack size.

Pat

[/ QUOTE ]

this is what I was thinking. Up til this point it seems that he has played this hand rather donkishly. If he had that strong of a hand, why didn't he just c/r AI on the turn?

Also I raised the flop for information intending to fold to a reraise. For the people who just call the flop what do you do when he fires a second barrel on the turn? In my experience if you just call players at this level they feel like you're drawing and will keep firing with a wide range. Also if I have him beat and hes on some kind of draw shouldn't I be charging?