#1
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Blind steal attempt with garbage flops top pair
Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (8 handed) converter
Preflop: Hero is MP2 with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. CO posts a blind of $1. <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, CO (poster) calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>. Flop: (7 SB) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, CO folds, SB calls. Turn: (5.50 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> SB checks, Hero checks. River: (5.50 BB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, Hero calls. Final Pot: 7.50 BB First off, the blind steal... Button and BB were TAs. SB was a bit on the loose side. He saw way too many showdowns and had a low AF but I had two previous encounters with him, resulting in the following notes: -PFL/C KJs UTG, C/R K75 flop HU vs. PFR -Raised/Capped turn w/ 1-card nut str8 When he bet the flop, I was pretty sure he had a piece of the board. As a quick estimate, 2 Js left, 3 Ts, 3 5s, so I figured I'm ahead approximately 3/4 of the time here, and the raise can drive out a marginal holding from CO. When the T dropped on the turn, I think I'm now behind a bit more than I'm ahead, so I check behind, planning to call a river bet, or bet the river if checked to. Given that he sees so many showdowns, is this the right move? And I'm starting to think the blind steal was a bad idea. I know that when I'm posting the blind, I put in 1 to win 2.5 so I should raise with any 2, but here, putting in 2 to win 2.5, where should I draw the line? |
#2
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Re: Blind steal attempt with garbage flops top pair
[ QUOTE ]
And I'm starting to think the blind steal was a bad idea. I know that when I'm posting the blind, I put in 1 to win 2.5 so I should raise with any 2, but here, putting in 2 to win 2.5, where should I draw the line? [/ QUOTE ] I think you need to open up a little bit here as you need the blind steal to work less often to be profitable. However, I don't think J3s is good enough, and the fact that SB is loose makes it even worse. |
#3
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Re: Blind steal attempt with garbage flops top pair
Fold this preflop and you will make more money.
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#4
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Re: Blind steal attempt with garbage flops top pair
I wait for at least playable hands to "blind steal" in the event I'm called and I might actually not be given credit for anything. You are up against a player who you cannot bluff against so you are basically forcing yourself to hit something and hope he misses, which I don't like. Hands like ace-rag, broadway cards, suited connectors, and mid pocket pairs are the hands I look for (along with all the obvious hands), otherwise I don't bother.
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