value raise or slow play?

[HUSKER'66]

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25/50 online 8 handed.

MP1 is LAG preflop, loose-passive postflop and way too tight-passive on the river. appears to be a beginner.

Do not have great read on SB except that he is somewhat tight-typical.

Hero is UTG with A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
hero raises. folded to MP1 who calls. folded to SB who calls.

flop 2 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]2 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]6 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($175)

SB checks. Hero bets. MP1 calls. SB calls.

turn: A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($250)

SB bets.

Call or raise?

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I don't think a raise is bad here. If MP1 does drop, your still going to probably get called by SB, thus you make the same amout as if you had just called in the hopes of keeping it three handed.

What you want is for him to be on something like a flush draw and call your raise thinking he's getting 4/1 on his call.

Then pray for a spade. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

You mention that MP1 is tight passive on the river, so your not going to lose much if he does drop on the turn. If the river doesn't hit him, he won't be around for your river bet.....might as well try and get it while he still has a draw and might pay to see one more card.

Just my thoughts,

Husker