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  #1  
Old 10-19-2005, 12:19 PM
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Default Party 40K: How many coin flips do you have to survive on average?

To get to the final table, I'm guessing about 6 or 7.
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  #2  
Old 10-19-2005, 12:51 PM
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Default Re: Party 40K: How many coin flips do you have to survive on average?

I'm still trying to survive the first coinflip... so as far as I know it's at least one, but probably more.
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  #3  
Old 10-19-2005, 01:22 PM
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Default Re: Party 40K: How many coin flips do you have to survive on average?

6 or 7 is not right. That would imply an ITM% of ((1/2)^7)/100 < x < ((1/2)^6)/100 which is about 1%. As many people here have pointed out, an ITM of ~15% is good. When I money a MTT I might win an initial coinflip that puts me a risk of losing the tournament, but once you start accumulating chips you can safely call coinflips and lose the hand without totally losing the tournament. So I'd estimate around 2 initially on average (probably between 1 and 2). There are also times when I just outplay my opponents without getting it all in on a flip situation. So if you don't want to quantify it I would say "it depends" but it is most definitely a lower number than you guessed. You have to understand that moneying a MTT is not just about winning coinflips.
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  #4  
Old 10-19-2005, 06:25 PM
AtticusFinch AtticusFinch is offline
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Default Re: Party 40K: How many coin flips do you have to survive on average?

[ QUOTE ]
I'm still trying to survive the first coinflip... so as far as I know it's at least one, but probably more.

[/ QUOTE ]

Same here. Hell, forget the coinflips. I'd be happy enough just winning 50% of the time when I have a guy dominated.
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  #5  
Old 10-19-2005, 06:55 PM
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Default Re: Party 40K: How many coin flips do you have to survive on average?

^^^^
ditto... that's my usual beautiful exit from a tourney.

now... how many coinflips would you say you needed to have a ...say >7,5k stack in a rebuy?
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  #6  
Old 10-19-2005, 07:39 PM
Jurollo Jurollo is offline
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Default Re: Party 40K: How many coin flips do you have to survive on average?

How late does the $40K usually run?
~Justin

3 hours till ITM? I havent played it before by just curious when it ends EST? 5am? 6am?
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  #7  
Old 10-19-2005, 07:43 PM
La Brujita La Brujita is offline
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Default Re: Party 40K: How many coin flips do you have to survive on average?

FWIW I got to the final table of a super a few weeks ago without winning one single coinflip. I thought that was pretty incredible but my dominating hands just held up.
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