#11
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Re: Small overpair big pot. 5-10NL
What combination of hands do you put them on that makes your call a good one? How often do you anticipate this favorable combination? By the way, I assume people are saying that calling with bigger pairs is better b/c they will cancel some of your opponents' outs if they have a flush draw and overs. There is also some minor chance of TT-QQ.
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#12
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Re: Small overpair big pot. 5-10NL
[ QUOTE ]
Will one of these players have TT-QQ often enough to really make an EV difference? [/ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] If he pushes, however, he could have a very definite read on the short-stack and want to isolate with a hand he knows is winning, like AK or AQ, assuming it beats the short-stack. That could sucker you into calling. [/ QUOTE ] If he is capable of making this play with AK or AQ, he might do the same with QQ for sure, and maybe JJ or TT. So yes, I would say AA is better than KK. And KK is better than QQ. And QQ is better than...well, you get the point. It will make a huge difference in EV. [ QUOTE ] Flop is 542, two spades [/ QUOTE ] 66 and 33 are real possibilities here. But do you really want to make that call when the choices are being a 1.6:1 (33) favorite or a 10.88:1 dog (set or overpair)? He could have 88 or 77, but you're dead if he played A3s (or lord have mercy 63). I would have made the laydown unless I had a serious read on the bigger of the two stacks (aka, he only makes a play like that on a bluff). And I agree with the sentiment of others. It doesn't matter to me if you won that hand or not. I feel you will lose money in the long run by making the call. |
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