TT capped pot

[cold_cash]

We don't want him to fold 99, but he still might.

(I think it was just lumped in with hands he might fold, not hands we necessarily want him to fold.)

[Duerig]

[ QUOTE ]

Why do we want him to fold 99?


[/ QUOTE ]

We don't. But that should make us lean even farther towards checking behind.

EDIT: Er wait, maybe not...

[pistol78]

becasue If I do your numbers but omit 99 and TT I find that a river bet IS profitable.

[cold_cash]

[ QUOTE ]
becasue If I do your numbers but omit 99 and TT I find that a river bet IS profitable.

[/ QUOTE ]

How does eliminating one of the few hands I beat make a bet more profitable?

[cold_cash]

What makes you wanna bet the flop?

[Redd]

[ QUOTE ]
I would bet the flop

[/ QUOTE ]

I really don't like betting the flop here. On a k-high flop we're crushed by CO's typical capping range, let alone the chance that we're behind the pfr as well. I presume you were planning to c/f the flop, Cash?

[SlantNGo]

[ QUOTE ]
What makes you wanna bet the flop?

[/ QUOTE ]

Bad choice now that I think it through... my original logic went something like this:

I want to continue in this hand. The pot is huge right now, and I would strongly consider continuing in the hand drawing only to the set even. It looks like we're behind a typical capping range for CO. However, we have no read on CO, and hands like AQ, AJ, and 99 may very well be hands that he caps there (or just first hand excitement, since he posted). If he caps one of those hands, he probably raises it on the flop as well. This allows us to knock out potentially stronger hands that UTG may hold (QQ, JJ, as well as hands with many outs to beat us, i.e. 2 overcard hands like AJ).

I don't think I'd do this without a read... investing 3 more big bets into this pot when AQ, AJ, 99, etc. comprise probably less than 10% of his capping range sounds like suicide on second thought. I would, however, strongly consider peeling the flop on implied odds if CO bet.

[TomBrooks]

Bet the river for value. If raised, fold and don't blame me. Really - you might as well check, because he's not likely to call with anything you beat.

[TomBrooks]

[ QUOTE ]
I would bet the flop, then call a raise and fold the turn UI. Given your flop check, the turn raise is good, and you must check the river.

[/ QUOTE ]
I might take a shot betting this flop occasionally against a very aggressive preflop three bettor. Why not fold to a raise though?

Wait, I don't bet this flop because of the two flush. I don't want to confuse anyone. With a rainbow, non-straight flop it is clear you are repping the King so the meaning of any response you get will be more clear.

[Entity]

You played this hand really well.