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Old 12-26-2005, 04:30 PM
UncleSalty UncleSalty is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Composing Vogon poetry
Posts: 513
Default Re: Simple push bot question

[ QUOTE ]
i think i'm pushing any pair, AT and up. That'll give you like 35% equity atleast, get called 35%, blinds will call more often, so i'll round to 40% so

60% you win 2 BB's for +1.2
40% you win 35% of 10BB pot. +3.5
you lose 65% of 8BB's -5.2
= not what i expected. Whoops, i thoguht this would be profitable. It appears i have to tighten up my pushing.

*note, unless i'm too un-sober to do correct math.

edit:

LEFT OUT A STEP.

40% * -1.7bb's + 60% * 1.2bb's
-0.68 + 0.72 = +0.04


Still think i [censored] something up. But atleast it confirmed to me that it's +cEV like i thoguoht.

i stand by AT+, any pair, KJ+, QJs.JTs.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think the lose 65% piece of your math needs to be multiplied by the 40% chance they call.

Edit: NM, looks like you fixed it in the "left out a step"
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