ATL / BUFF

[humdinger]

Okay, there's two games I like this week. See my Cin/Chi post for the other.

I also see some things I like in the ATL @ Buff game.

Both teams run. They run run run. They run all day. Vick or no Vick, they run. If no Vick, Dunn and Duckett get more carries.

With Buffalo's secondary, anchored by two tremendous safeties, ATL will struggle to pass. 3rd and 6? Draw play. They run.

On the other side of the ball, I believe (I should double check...) Mathis is back for Atlanta. Hall is a great cover corner. They, minus Mathis, held Philly to 10 points. Buffalo will put the ball in their RBs hands more than Philly did, but that's just more grinding of the clock. They may pass on 3rd and 6th, but will have limited success.

You can see where this is going. This will be a very quick game, because the clock will rarely stop turning. I like the under in this game.

I also sort of like ATL +3. Tampa avg 4.8 yds/carry vs Buffalo, and Houston averaged 4.1. Atlanta has one of the most prolific running attacks, and I think they'll do very well in Buffalo.

So, I really like the under. I sort of like ATL + 3.

thoughts?

hd